September 11-13, 2009Give a Worker a Raise
How to Fight Deflation
By MIKE WHITNEY
The slight rebound in housing looks a lot different when one considers how much the Fed is meddling in the market. Fed chair Ben Bernanke has purchased $240 billion in US Treasuries to keep long-term interest rates artificially low while--at the same time--buying $740 billion in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac mortgage-backed securities (MBS) to provide the financing for new home buyers. It's the double-whammy; and that's not all. Bernanke plans to continue buying agency MBS (monetization) until he reaches $1.45 trillion, which will make Uncle Sam the biggest player in the housing market by far. How's that for central planning?
The fact is, all the recent gains in home sales are all the result of direct government intervention. If interest rates were allowed to rise (as the would naturally) or if Congress withdrew its $8,000 first-time home-buyer subsidy, or if FHA tightened its loosey-goosey financing (which requires just 3.5% down payment and low FICO scores, the same as subprime!) home prices and sales would continue to drop at a 10 to 15 percent year-over-year rate. Housing has stopped plummeting for one reason alone; the Fed bought the market.
The same rule applies to the stock market, where the Fed's quantitative easing (QE) and liquidity injections have sparked a 6-month bear market rally sending equities to the moon. It's all Fed intervention. A recent report by Egan-Jones Ratings And Analytics traces the Fed's lavish liquidity handouts pointing out the precise sectors of the market that have been most effected:
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