Fractional flow curves II -- Electric boogaloo

[phantom power]

Peak Oil: Simmons v. Saudis, Round Two

“Abqaiq became a renaissance story for Aramco,” he says, insisting that the field’s pressure remains strong and its water content is going down even after more than 60 years in production. Abqaiq “is doing fantastically,” Saleri says.

Simmons, reached by phone in Houston, says he feels equally vindicated—and increasingly alarmed. He based his book largely on information dug up in old technical journals. In recent weeks he has hit the archives again, with thoughts of writing a second book.

What he has found, he says, “is so unbelievably scary you can’t believe it.” He claims that there is mounting technical evidence that Aramco is struggling to deal with increasing volumes of water at its hugest fields. With water production going up, he says, oil production is going down.

“It is absolutely clear as a bell now that all of those fields are heading toward being another Cantarell,” referring to the massive Mexican offshore field, which is now in rapid decline.

http://blogs.wsj.com/environmentalcapital/2008/02/12/big-peak-oil-debate-redux/?mod=googlenews_wsj

[Systematic Chaos]

1. Calling Xemasab!

We need your pretty sig pic for this one. kthxbai

[GliderGuider]

2. When simmons talks like this I get the shivers

After his recent studies, he now fears he has "grossly underestimated how savage the post-peak oil reality will be."

Even when people whack on me for being a doomer, I think pretty much the same thing.

[phantom power]

3. And it has big teeth!

[GliderGuider]

4. What, like that harmless little bunny rabbit?

[phantom power]

5. I think Sir Saleri should take it out.

He seems confident.