Fatih Birol - In Absence Of Serious Global Effort, Prepare To Kiss 2C Warming Goal Goodbye

[hatrack]

Without a serious policy turnaround from the world's largest emitters, the world won't meet its target of limiting the global temperature increase to no more than 3.6 degrees Fahrenheit, a top IEA official has warned. The 3.6 degree F cap -- 2 degrees Celsius -- a threshold scientists say is crucial to avert the most catastrophic effects of the temperature increase, can't be reached given the international community's current level of commitment, said Fatih Birol, the chief economist of the International Energy Agency.

"As we stand now, we're only a few meters away from saying goodbye to the 2-degree target," The New York Times, in a story from the ClimateWire, quoted Birol as saying. "When I look at the next 10 years, even if I take into consideration the pledges made after the Copenhagen meeting, the best case is that this could put us on a trajectory in line with 3.5 degrees C," or 6.3 degrees F. Decarbonization efforts had to be increased by 400 percent to stay within the 3.6 degree F limit, Birol said.

At a climate summit in Cancun, Mexico, the limit was included in a joint statement by the countries present, including the world's two biggest emitters of greenhouse gases, China and the United States.

Yet the international community has still not agreed to a binding climate protection treaty. Adding up industrialized nations' reduction targets while considering all the loopholes buried in the current agreements amount to carbon dioxide reductions of 2 percent in 2020 based on 1990 levels, the Heinrich Boell Foundation, a policy think tank linked to the German Green Party, said in its analysis of the decisions taken at the Cancun climate summit. "That's a catastrophe," it added.

EDIT

http://www.terradaily.com/reports/IEAs_Birol_Say_goodbye_to_climate_goals_999.html

[villager]

1. Our great evolutionary flaw -- bringing on the next mass extinction...

n/t

[ixion]

2. Our Flaw: We're not too bright....

just smart enough to bring about our own demise.

[villager]

3. Yup -- too fearful to save ourselves at the last possible minute...

...and thus, the last possible minute slips from our grasp...

[The Doctor.]

6. The characteristics that get people powerful positions,

are the same short-sighted characteristics that make them ignore real problems.

The best and brightest are not only not in charge, they are routinely dismissed.

[GliderGuider]

7. The structure of global industrial civilization does not reward wisdom.

It rewards winning. Even the voters prefer not to elect wise people in times of crisis - truth-telling doesn't make people feel good. If it's a toss-up between a wise man and a ruthless strong man who can make us feel good, guess who wins?

[Bigmack]

8. Well, it rewards "winning"

in the short term, but almost ALWAYS goes with losing in the long term.... Ms Bigmack

[stuntcat]

10. yah

+1

[phantom power]

4. bye bye!

:hi:

[GliderGuider]

5. Birol is a pretty brave guy.

He was one of the first establishment heavy hitters to talk seriously about Peak Oil, too,

[XemaSab]

9. Kiss it goodbye?

I never even got a chance to say hello. :P