The external cost (cost of degraded health and destroyed environment) for coal is 1.60 eurocent/kw-hr and 2.00 eurocent/kw-hr for lignite, according to this reference:
http://www.itas.fzk.de/deu/tadn/tadn013/frbi01a.htmThe mean cost of wind power in Europe as of 2003 was about 5.00 eurocents/kwh (worse case), and the external cost was negligible, 0.04 eurocents/kwh.
In Europe, the use of so called "clean coal" gave generating costs of well over 4 eurocents/kw-hr. Using the best case for the production of coal power, the price is around $5.20/kwh, not really competitive with wind.
http://www.cffopet.net/events/wp1/report%20of%20the%20workshop%20-%20the%20emerging%20market%20of%20clean%20fossil%20fuel%20technologies%20for%20co2%20reduction,%20capture%20and%20sequestration.docActually given the events of the last several weeks, I think maybe the external cost of coal, if anything, has been hugely
underestimated.
However wind power does not compete with coal, since the capacity factor of wind plants is about 30% of name plate and the power is intermittent. The intermittent nature of wind power does effect its economics. For instance when Denmark dumps wind energy on the market during periods of low demand, it has to sell the power at reduced prices. This has slowed the expansion of wind power growth in Denmark:
Wind power producers get for installations before 2003 a guaranteed 10 year fixed price of 0,43 DKK/kWh plus extra 0,17 DKK/kWh based on different regulations, mainly full load hour based (e.g. 12.000 full load hour, approx. 5 year for WTGs from 600 kW and up). Finally there was a first round of scrap certificate system (ending 2003), where extra 0,17 DKK/kWh is given based on taking down older smaller WTGs. For WTGs installed after 1.1.2003 only market price + 0,10 DKK/kWh subsidy is paid, with a maximum upper limit of 0,36 DKK/kWh for getting the full 0,10 DKK/kWh (+ eventually the scrap certificate 0,17 DKK/kWh for WTGs installed before 2004). The low price, approximate 0,32 DKK/kWh (4,2 €c/kWh) incl. subsidy, is the main reason for that almost no new WTGs besides the off shore projects with special agreements was installed in 2003 and practically none in 2004. Due to this fact, the Government has now decided a new scrap certificate round (spring 2004), that should start winter 2004. The new round aims at taking down 175 MW up to 450 kW WTGs and building 350 MW new on shore where the subsidy will be extra 0,12 DKK/kWh in 12.000 full load hours. The time period is set to 5 years.
http://www.windenergy-in-the-bsr.net/countries_detail_2.htmlhttp://www.windpower.org/composite-182.htmDenmark hopes to reduce this problem by better grid integration, but they're not there yet.
Better integration of wind sources with intelligent load leveling should reduce dependence on natural gas, but it will have almost zero effect on the use of coal.
Germany, as I often point out, plans huge expansions in coal since it has decided - in a burst of insanity - to phase out nuclear power.