Source:
BBCLast Updated: Thursday, 3 May 2007, 22:43 GMT 23:43 UK
'Deal struck' at UN climate talks-snip-The current atmospheric concentration is about 425ppm,
and many climate scientists now argue that only agreeing
to keep below about 450ppm can prevent major climatic
consequences.
The IPCC draft says keeping concentrations at this level
could cost up to 3% of GDP.
"I can tell you that the probability for achieving 450ppm
in anything approaching the world as it now is almost
impossible," commented Professor Stephen Schneider
from Stanford University in California, who helped draft
the IPCC's first report this year on the science of climate
change.
"But a temperature rise over 2-3C leads to potential mass
extinctions, serious problems with coasts, mountain
glaciers disappearing, melting ice sheets... and one has
to talk about stabilisation at 450-550ppm range to have
a better than 20-30% chance of preventing that."
The IPCC does not make policy recommendations, but
even so China, with some other delegations, has sought
to play down references to the lower stabilisation levels.
Link:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/6620909.stm