Guns & The 2008 Elections: Common Sense Gun Laws Won, The NRA Lost, & What it MeansQUOTE
SUMMARY OF FINDINGS
• The elections were a major victory for common sense gun laws. In Barack Obama and Joe Biden, Americans elected a President and Vice President as supportive of strong common sense gun laws as any in American history. Strongly endorsed by the Brady Campaign to Prevent Gun Violence, Obama and Biden voiced a reasonable approach to addressing the gun violence that threatens the nation, while rejecting the division and extremism of the gun lobby. (Pages 7-9)
• The Brady Campaign, and candidates supportive of sensible gun laws, won big. (Pages 14-16, 20-22)
o Brady endorsed candidates won over 90 % of their races. (Page 20)
o In U.S. Senate races between a Brady-backed candidate and an NRA endorsed or “A” rated candidate, voters chose the Brady candidate 100% of the time; in House races, 84% of the time. (Page 20)
• The NRA lost big. The NRA called 2008 “arguably the most important year” in its 137 year history, and promised to spend $40 million in the elections, mostly to defeat Obama, who they deemed would be the “most anti-gun president in American history.”
The NRA’s millions could not prevent victories by candidates supportive of sensible gun laws, including in states with significant gun ownership. Obama won almost every state where the NRA ran ads. (Pages 9-16)
o Voters in both primaries rejected pro-NRA extremists. In the GOP primaries, party loyalists supported one of the candidates most supportive of reasonable gun laws, and rejected a slate of NRA “A” rated candidates. In the Democratic primaries, the sole candidate who did not receive an “F” rating from the NRA was routed. (Pages 16-19)
o The NRA lost big in Senate, House, and state races. For the second election in a row, the NRA spent most of its money unsuccessfully opposing winning candidates, even in states with significant gun ownership. (Pages 20-22)
o The NRA was discredited. In an election cycle in which voters turned away from misleading ads and over-the-top rhetoric, the NRA’s fear-mongering claims of gun grabbing did not go over well. Fact checkers exposed many NRA ads as misleading and worse, prominently discrediting the NRA. (Page 11)
• Single-issue “NRA voters” were insignificant. The NRA derives much of its influence from the myth that even though a small minority supports its agenda, it can deliver a significant block of single-issue “NRA voters.” In 2008 (as in other years), those voters were insignificant in number, and did not make a critical difference in the primaries, the general election, or any down ticket races. (Pages 23-24)
ENDQUOTE
If “common sense gun laws” mean renewing the AWB in a revised draconian bill like H.R. 1022 and banning handguns we Dems can easily lose the House in 2010.