Reasons why Kerry will be well ahead within a week

[sampsonblk]

1. The more the two debate, the more they have to address issues. If Americans vote on the issues, that favors Kerry just as it did Gore in 2000.

2. "A myth, once destroyed, cannot be re-created." George W Bush, was "strong" on foreign policy a month ago. Now his foreign policy is shown to be no more compelling than anyone else's. Bush the Conqueror is gone. Long Live John Kerry! Oops, I digressed.

3. We are on to mostly domestic issues now. Bush has no chance to pick up ground. None. Nada. Either Kerry gains, or the race stays the same. Bush's arguments from the 2000 election have proven to be bogus. And he has decided to run on them in order to look strong and decisive. Good. I hope he sticks to it!

This is a good week for John Kerry no matter how the debates go. We are going to be solidly ahead by next week. I say an avg of 5-6 pts in the legitimate polls.

[mzmolly]

1. Hope your right Sampson. I like your analysis.

I also hppe that Kerry goes back into prosecutor mode in the final debate. :hi:

[Mayberry Machiavelli]

2. Good analysis, ESPECIALLY POINT #1.

What were we talking about in August/Early Sept? Freaking Swift Boats!

Georgie has been able to entirely dodge the bloody tell tale beating heart of the Iraq Invasion (except for rigged sound bites/screened audiences on the campaign trail) right up to now. Now he doesn't get to dodge it, HE's the one who can "run, but can't hide." ANY discussion of the issue, with a dissenting point of view expressed, cannot be favorable for him.

[DaveinMD]

3. no one will be clearly ahead

we live in a divided nation. The most anyone can win by is about 5 points. I think Kerry will win by 2-3.

[Quixote1818]

4. I predict Kerry wins by 2 points nationaly and by 5 in battlground states

I think undecideds will fall heavely to Kerry.

[PROGRESSIVE1]

5. Kerry 51.5% Bush 47.5% Others: 2.0%

[TruthIsAll]

13. Do you mean OTHERS 1%? Need to add to 100.

tia

[doni_georgia]

15. You're forgetting something

1% of the votes will be all the Florida democratic votes that, uhhh, won't be counted.

Mac in Ga

[sampsonblk]

6. History suggests otherwise

Back in the spring, when our party was hammering Bush on every issue, Kerry was solidly ahead of Bush. Then it was garbage-time till now. It could be that if we go back to that, and focus on the issues, we can get a solid win.

Just my opinion, of course. But part of reason for the nation being divided is that some people refuse to give up their illusions about Bush. They just won't hear of it. No matter what he does or says. But I believe that if we keep shining the light on Bush, more and more of them will give up the ghost. How long can they keep their heads in the sand?

[Gabi Hayes]

7. EXCEPT...all the talking whoreheads I saw said that Bush

did better than Kerry on the domestic issues during last night's Furiousfest

anybody else notice that?

they're setting the stage for Wednseday's wild proBush spin

that's my guess

[sampsonblk]

8. I Hadn't Thought about That

I guess it will depend on whether the pundits inject themselves into the equation. But why should I expect otherwise?

[gratuitous]

9. Bush has shot his wad

He doesn't have a record to run on, so he's trying to tear down Kerry's. You'll know that's gone nowhere when you hear the Repubaboobies whine about why didn't the Democrats run Kerry sooner, since he has such a formidable record.

Bush is scrambling around, looking for more peas to shoot while Kerry's blasting away with a .357 Magnum of Truth.

[zinsky]

10. Require Bush to be wanded down before the next debate

The Chimp can show his dedication to Homeland Security, by agreeing to be wanded down with a metal detector before the next debate. What's the likelihood he would agree to it???

[Arioch]

11. It's as simple as Iraq...

Kerry has to press hard on this:

The sanctions WERE working.

Because George W Bush jumped the gun 1200 servicemen and women have DIED, 8000 of them have been injured, and at least 10,000 Iraqi civilians are dead!

NO ONE needed to DIE!

We need to get the enourmitiy of this, the greatest of Bush "mistakes" drilled into the heads of the unthinking masses.

The time is right, the evidence is there to support the argument - it MUST be driven into the thickest of skulls.

The next polls I beleive, will reflect that the American people are slowing waking...

[saccheradi]

12. and what about comparisons...

between the treatment of Iraqis and "terrorist detainees" at guitmo who were released after being brutalized and the internment of the Japaneze during WWII??

the mistreatment and abuse of human rights that are basic to our American morality is a MAJOR issue for me against this administration... yet I have yet to even hear it mentioned in the campaign or debates. Why is that??

[Disturbed]

14. Abuse, Torture, Prisons

Most Americans don't care about this. All of those who are in US/Iraq/Gitmo/Afghan Prisons are terrorists who don't deserve fair treatment. If they were abused &/or tortured it was to keep America safe. Anyone that speaks out about this is seen as defending terrorists. 911 has changed a lot of things. One of them is that Americans are living in fear and their security is more important than their liberty or anyone's human rights. Is that harsh, insane, cruel?

[sampsonblk]

16. Blame our party's leadership

This is a 100% winning point, but only when pressed from the beginning. Somewhere along the line, the Dem party leadership refused to press the issues of the tortures and abuse and other war crimes, just as they allowed Bush to claim "intelligence failures" for sending us into a bogus war. Just as they still allow him to say "everyone thought" Saddam had tons of WMDs.

With only three weeks till the election, its too late to start educating the public now. All we can do (in my opinion) is stick to what we have.

[saccheradi]

17. I certainly agree that it is too late now...

to go full force, but is there a way to sneak it in? Like a splinter in Bush's claims of compassion??

[sampsonblk]

18. I hope so

But I would expect the Repugs to claim its another flip-flop for Kerry.

I don't see how Kerry can make these claims without appearing to campaign aginst the whole Dem establishment. Its tough for me to see a way to do it. Maybe someone in Kerry's campaign can figure it out though.