Zogby: Bush losing military vote (& other tidbits)

[Jackpine Radical]

The following data are clipped from a Zogby poll report sent to me after doing an online poll:

(Utica, NY)- As the candidates prepare for the second presidential debate, President George W. Bush and Senator John Kerry are locked in a statistical dead heat (46%-45%), according to a new Reuters/Zogby daily tracking poll. The telephone poll of 1216 likely voters was conducted from Tuesday through Thursday (October 5-7,2004). The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.


Individuals looking for someone new include: easterners (59%); westerners (55%); 18-29 year olds (64%); 50-64 year olds (53%); those who do not consider themselves investor class (51%), members of the military (53%) and African Americans (88%).

The two candidates are in a dead heat among Catholics. Remember that Bill Clinton won Catholics by double-digits and Al Gore beat Bush 51%-46% among Catholics in 2000.

Bush leads Kerry among self-identified investors by only 7 points (51%-44%). Remember that he needs to win this group by double-digits

[PROGRESSIVE1]

1. kick

:D

[Wapsie B]

2. 11/2 cannot come soon enough for me.

Heck 1/25/05 too for that matter. I still get uneasy with all this talk of postponing elections.

[Zeke]

3. Correction.

Presidents are always sworn in January 20, not 25, no?

[Wapsie B]

5. You could be right.

I just knew it was some time around then.

[TlalocW]

4. What happens on 1/25/05?

Kegger at the White House to celebrate Kerry taking the oath back on the 20th? :)

TlalocW

[othermeans]

6. I'll be there!

[Gloria]

7. kick

eom

[bush equals idiot]

8. They'll have to drag bush out of the white house with a chain.

[DeepModem Mom]

9. Good spotting -- thanks for posting --

[KharmaTrain]

10. Double Digits With Investors? Dream On!

This member of the "investor class" sure won't be making that happen, nor are many wealthy people I come in contact with...most who call themselves Republican...but of the country club/fiscal conservative type.

A lot of these people are pissed royal at Bunnypants for allowing the market to tank (wiping out millions that a tax cut never quite made up), running up a defecit that is fueling a recession that started the day that boy walked in the door (and you won't find a true fiscal conservative who will argue with that) and the smarmy secret deals and no-bid contracts that they feel help just Bunnypant's friends.

If there's a resentment about Kerry, it's the long-held fears that Democrats will raise taxes and they'll only deal with their corporate buddies; punishing these people despite them not really supporting this regime. This will be an interesting group to watch in the weeks ahead.

Zogby is excellent...there's no out-lying or fake models here. Remember he was one of the few that called it for Gore in 2000.

[Awsi Dooger]

11. The best news is 64% dissatisfied among 18-29 year olds

Supposedly our voter registration has been heavily focused on the young. If we get anything close to that margin among 18 -24 Kerry should cruise. That 18-24 group is pathetically uninvolved, 31% voting in 2000 and in the low 20% in many key states like New Mexico.

Zogby's military number is either way off or short term misleading. Bush will carry very close to 60% of the military vote, if not slightly more.

[Jackpine Radical]

14. Bush may very well get 60% of the military.

All the poll says is that they're looking for someone new, not that they're finding that someone in Kerry.

[Andromeda]

12. Thanks for posting this...

:hi:

[sundancekid]

13. KICK