Some Recent State Polls

[struggle4progress]

Kerry, Bush Keep Tight In Arkansas
(CPOD) Oct. 8, 2004 – The state of Arkansas has no clear frontrunner in the 2004 United States presidential election, according to a poll by Zogby Interactive published in the Wall Street Journal Online. 46.9 per cent of respondents would vote for Democratic nominee John Kerry, while 46.7 per cent would support Republican incumbent George W. Bush. <snip>
Source: Zogby Interactive / The Wall Street Journal Online
Methodology: Online interviews to 545 Arkansas voters, conducted from Sept. 30 to Oct. 5, 2004. Margin of error is 3.6 per cent.
http://www.cpod.ubc.ca/polls/index.cfm?fuseaction=viewItem&itemID=4515


Colorado Finds Bush, Kerry Even
(CPOD) Oct. 10, 2004 – The state of Colorado has no clear frontrunner in the 2004 United States presidential election, according to a poll by Gallup released by CNN and USA Today. 49 per cent of respondents would vote for the Republican incumbents, while 49 per cent would support the Democratic ticket of John Kerry and John Edwards. <snip>
Source: Gallup / CNN / USA Today
Methodology: Telephone interviews to 667 likely Colorado voters, conducted from Oct. 3 to Oct. 6, 2004. Margin of error is 5 per cent.
http://www.cpod.ubc.ca/polls/index.cfm?fuseaction=viewItem&itemID=4548

Bush Up, Kerry Down In Colorado
(CPOD) Oct. 8, 2004 – George W. Bush could carry the state of Colorado in the 2004 United States presidential election, according to a poll by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc. published in the Denver Post. 50 per cent of respondents would vote for the Republican incumbent, while 41 per cent would support Democratic nominee John Kerry. <snip>
Source: Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc. / The Denver Post
Methodology: Telephone interviews to 630 likely Colorado voters, conducted from Oct. 4 to Oct. 6, 2004. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
http://www.cpod.ubc.ca/polls/index.cfm?fuseaction=viewItem&itemID=4524


Bush Tops Kerry In Florida
(CPOD) Oct. 9, 2004 – George W. Bush is leading the United States presidential race in the state of Florida, according to a poll by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc. released by the Orlando Sentinel and WESH-TV. 48 per cent of respondents would vote for the Republican incumbent in the 2004 election, while 44 per cent would support Democratic nominee John Kerry. <snip>
Source: Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc. / Orlando Sentinel / WESH-TV
Methodology: Interviews to 625 likely Florida voters, conducted on Oct. 4 and Oct. 5, 2004. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
http://www.cpod.ubc.ca/polls/index.cfm?fuseaction=viewItem&itemID=4527

Florida Keeps Kerry, Bush Deadlock
(CPOD) Oct. 8, 2004 – The state of Florida is too close to call in the 2004 United States presidential race, according to a poll by Zogby Interactive published in the Wall Street Journal Online. 49.5 per cent of respondents would vote for Democratic nominee John Kerry in the election, while 49.1 per cent would support Republican incumbent George W. Bush. <snip>
Source: Zogby Interactive / The Wall Street Journal Online
Methodology: Online interviews to 1,925 Florida voters, conducted from Sept. 30 to Oct. 5, 2004. Margin of error is 2.2 per cent.
http://www.cpod.ubc.ca/polls/index.cfm?fuseaction=viewItem&itemID=4516


In Illinois, Kerry Keeps Lead
(CPOD) Oct. 10, 2004 – John Kerry could carry the state of Illinois in the 2004 United States presidential election, according to a poll by Rasmussen Reports. 52 per cent of respondents would vote for the Democratic nominee, while 41 per cent would support Republican incumbent George W. Bush. <snip>
Source: Rasmussen Reports
Methodology: Telephone interviews to 500 likely Illinois voters, conducted on Oct. 4, 2004. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.
http://www.cpod.ubc.ca/polls/index.cfm?fuseaction=viewItem&itemID=4550

In Illinois, Kerry Extends Advantage
(CPOD) Oct. 8, 2004 – John Kerry could carry the state of Illinois in the 2004 United States presidential election, according to a poll by SurveyUSA released by WBBM-TV. 55 per cent of respondents would vote for the Democratic nominee, while 39 per cent would support Republican incumbent George W. Bush. <snip>
Source: SurveyUSA / WBBM-TV
Methodology: Telephone interviews to 644 likely Illinois voters, conducted from Oct. 2 to Oct. 4, 2004. Margin of error is 4 per cent. Percentages may not add up to 100 due to rounding.
http://www.cpod.ubc.ca/polls/index.cfm?fuseaction=viewItem&itemID=4521


Bush Victory Looks Certain In Indiana
(CPOD) Oct. 10, 2004 – George W. Bush would carry the state of Indiana in the 2004 United States presidential election, according to a poll by SurveyUSA released by WXIN-TV. 58 per cent of respondents would vote for the Republican incumbent, while 39 per cent would support Democratic nominee John Kerry. <snip>
Source: SurveyUSA / WXIN-TV
Methodology: Telephone interviews to 589 likely Indiana voters, conducted from Oct. 3 to Oct. 5, 2004. Margin of error is 4.1 per cent.
http://www.cpod.ubc.ca/polls/index.cfm?fuseaction=viewItem&itemID=4544


Kerry, Bush Remain Close In Iowa
(CPOD) Oct. 10, 2004 – The state of Iowa has no clear frontrunner in the 2004 United States presidential election, according to a poll by SurveyUSA released by WHO-TV. 48 per cent of respondents would vote for Democratic nominee John Kerry, while 47 per cent would support Republican incumbent George W. Bush. <snip>
Source: SurveyUSA / WHO-TV
Methodology: Telephone interviews to 669 likely Iowa voters, conducted from Oct. 4 to Oct. 6, 2004. Margin of error is 3.9 per cent. Percentages may not add up to 100 due to rounding.
http://www.cpod.ubc.ca/polls/index.cfm?fuseaction=viewItem&itemID=4541

In Iowa, Kerry Keeps The Pace
(CPOD) Oct. 8, 2004 – John Kerry could carry the state of Iowa in the 2004 United States presidential election, according to a poll by Zogby Interactive published in the Wall Street Journal Online. 51.1 per cent of respondents would vote for the Democratic nominee, while 44.5 per cent would support Republican incumbent George W. Bush. <snip>
Source: Zogby Interactive / The Wall Street Journal Online
Methodology: Online interviews to 586 Iowa voters, conducted from Sept. 30 to Oct. 5, 2004. Margin of error is 4.1 per cent.
http://www.cpod.ubc.ca/polls/index.cfm?fuseaction=viewItem&itemID=4518


Double-Digit Bush Lead In Kentucky
(CPOD) Oct. 8, 2004 – George W. Bush would carry the state of Kentucky in the 2004 United States presidential election, according to a poll by SurveyUSA released by WHAS-TV. 57 per cent of respondents would vote for the Republican incumbent, while 38 per cent would support Democratic nominee John Kerry. <snip>
Source: SurveyUSA / WHAS-TV
Methodology: Telephone interviews to 622 likely Kentucky voters, conducted from Oct. 2 to Oct. 4, 2004. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
http://www.cpod.ubc.ca/polls/index.cfm?fuseaction=viewItem&itemID=4520


Kerry Gains, But Maine Still Close
(CPOD) Oct. 8, 2004 – The state of Maine is too close to call in the 2004 United States presidential election, according to a poll by SurveyUSA released by WCSH-TV. 49 per cent of respondents would vote for Democratic nominee John Kerry, while 47 per cent would support Republican incumbent George W. Bush. <snip>
Source: SurveyUSA / WCSH-TV
Methodology: Telephone interviews to 653 likely Maine voters, conducted from Oct. 3 to Oct. 5, 2004. Margin of error is 3.9 per cent.
http://www.cpod.ubc.ca/polls/index.cfm?fuseaction=viewItem&itemID=4522


Kerry Remains Ahead In Maryland
(CPOD) Oct. 9, 2004 – John Kerry would carry the state of Maryland in the 2004 United States presidential election, according to a poll by Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies. 52 per cent of respondents would vote for the Democratic nominee, while 42 per cent would support Republican incumbent George W. Bush. <snip>
Source: Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies
Methodology: Telephone interviews to 980 registered Maryland voters, conducted from Oct. 1 to Oct. 5, 2004. Margin of error is 3.5 per cent.
http://www.cpod.ubc.ca/polls/index.cfm?fuseaction=viewItem&itemID=4529


Kerry Keeps Ten Point Lead In Michigan
(CPOD) Oct. 10, 2004 – John Kerry could carry the state of Michigan in the 2004 United States presidential election, according to a poll by SurveyUSA released by WZZM-TV. 52 per cent of respondents would vote for the Democratic nominee, while 42 per cent would support Republican incumbent George W. Bush. <snip>
Source: SurveyUSA / WZZM-TV
Methodology: Telephone interviews to 659 likely Michigan voters, conducted from Oct. 4 to Oct. 6, 2004. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
http://www.cpod.ubc.ca/polls/index.cfm?fuseaction=viewItem&itemID=4543

Kerry Could Carry Michigan In 2004
(CPOD) Oct. 8, 2004 – John Kerry could win the state of Michigan in the 2004 United States presidential election, according to a poll by Zogby Interactive published in the Wall Street Journal Online. 54.1 per cent of respondents would vote for the Democratic nominee, while 44.4 per cent would support Republican incumbent George W. Bush. <snip>
Source: Zogby Interactive / The Wall Street Journal Online
Methodology: Online interviews to 1,207 Michigan voters, conducted from Sept. 30 to Oct. 5, 2004. Margin of error is 2.8 per cent.
http://www.cpod.ubc.ca/polls/index.cfm?fuseaction=viewItem&itemID=4519


In Minnesota, Kerry Remains On Top
(CPOD) Oct. 9, 2004 – John Kerry holds the lead in the state of Minnesota, according to a poll by Zogby Interactive published in the Wall Street Journal Online. 52.4 per cent of respondents would vote for the Democratic nominee in the 2004 United States presidential election, while 44.1 per cent would support Republican incumbent George W. Bush. <snip>
Source: Zogby Interactive / The Wall Street Journal Online
Methodology: Online interviews to 814 Minnesota voters, conducted from Sept. 30 to Oct. 5, 2004. Margin of error is 3.4 per cent.
http://www.cpod.ubc.ca/polls/index.cfm?fuseaction=viewItem&itemID=4531


Bush Keeps First Spot In Missouri
(CPOD) Oct. 9, 2004 – George W. Bush holds the upper hand in the state of Missouri, according to a poll by Zogby Interactive published in the Wall Street Journal Online. 49.8 per cent of respondents would vote for the Republican incumbent in the 2004 United States presidential election, while 47.6 per cent would support Democratic nominee John Kerry. <snip>
Source: Zogby Interactive / The Wall Street Journal Online
Methodology: Online interviews to 1,088 Missouri voters, conducted from Sept. 30 to Oct. 5, 2004. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
http://www.cpod.ubc.ca/polls/index.cfm?fuseaction=viewItem&itemID=4533


In Nevada, Kerry Barely Leads Bush
(CPOD) Oct. 9, 2004 – The state of Nevada is too close to call in the 2004 United States presidential race, according to a poll by Zogby Interactive published in the Wall Street Journal Online. 48.1 per cent of respondents would vote for Democratic nominee John Kerry in the election, while 47.1 per cent would support Republican incumbent George W. Bush. <snip>
Source: Zogby Interactive / The Wall Street Journal Online
Methodology: Online interviews to 519 Nevada voters, conducted from Sept. 30 to Oct. 5, 2004. Margin of error is 4.3 per cent.
http://www.cpod.ubc.ca/polls/index.cfm?fuseaction=viewItem&itemID=4535


In New Hampshire, Kerry Takes Lead
(CPOD) Oct. 10, 2004 – John Kerry could carry the state of New Hampshire, according to a poll by Zogby Interactive published in the Wall Street Journal Online. 50.5 per cent of respondents would vote for the Democratic nominee in the 2004 United States presidential election, while 43.9 per cent would support Republican incumbent George W. Bush. <snip>
Source: Zogby Interactive / The Wall Street Journal Online
Methodology: Online interviews to 576 New Hampshire voters, conducted from Sept. 30 to Oct. 5, 2004. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
http://www.cpod.ubc.ca/polls/index.cfm?fuseaction=viewItem&itemID=4542

Kerry Could Take New Hampshire
(CPOD) Oct. 9, 2004 – John Kerry is the top presidential candidate in New Hampshire, according to a poll by Franklin and Marshall College’s Center for Opinion Research. 49 per cent of respondents would vote for the Democratic nominee in the 2004 United States presidential election, while 42 per cent would support Republican incumbent George W. Bush. <snip>
Source: Franklin and Marshall College’s Center for Opinion Research
Methodology: Interviews to 617 likely New Hampshire voters, conducted on Oct. 3 and Oct. 4, 2004. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
http://www.cpod.ubc.ca/polls/index.cfm?fuseaction=viewItem&itemID=4525


Kerry Extends Lead In New Jersey
(CPOD) Oct. 10, 2004 – John Kerry is the top presidential candidate in the state of New Jersey, according to a poll by the Eagleton Institute of Politics at Rutgers University published in the Star-Ledger. 47 per cent of respondents would vote for the Democratic nominee in the 2004 United States election, while 41 per cent would support Republican incumbent George W. Bush. <snip>
Source: Eagleton Institute of Politics at Rutgers University / The Star-Ledger
Methodology: Interviews to 576 likely New Jersey voters, conducted from Oct. 1 to Oct. 6, 2004. Margin of error is 3.5 per cent.
http://www.cpod.ubc.ca/polls/index.cfm?fuseaction=viewItem&itemID=4546


In New Mexico, Kerry Ahead Of Bush
(CPOD) Oct. 10, 2004 – John Kerry holds the lead in the state of New Mexico, according to a poll by Zogby Interactive published in the Wall Street Journal Online. 53.9 per cent of respondents would vote for the Democratic nominee in the 2004 United States presidential election, while 42.5 per cent would support Republican incumbent George W. Bush. <snip>
Source: Zogby Interactive / The Wall Street Journal Online
Methodology: Online interviews 541 New Mexico voters, conducted from Sept. 30 to Oct. 5, 2004. Margin of error is 4.2 per cent.
http://www.cpod.ubc.ca/polls/index.cfm?fuseaction=viewItem&itemID=4545


Kerry, Bush Virtually Tied In Ohio
(CPOD) Oct. 10, 2004 – The state of Ohio has no clear frontrunner in the 2004 United States presidential election, according to a poll by Zogby Interactive published in the Wall Street Journal Online. 49.1 per cent of respondents would vote for Democratic nominee John Kerry, while 48.8 per cent would support Republican incumbent George W. Bush. <snip>
Source: Zogby Interactive / The Wall Street Journal Online
Methodology: Online interviews to 1,844 Ohio voters, conducted from Sept. 30 to Oct. 5, 2004. Margin of error is 2.3 per cent.
http://www.cpod.ubc.ca/polls/index.cfm?fuseaction=viewItem&itemID=4547

Ohio Maintains Close Kerry, Bush Race
(CPOD) Oct. 9, 2004 – The battleground state of Ohio has no clear frontrunner in the 2004 United States presidential election, according to a poll by American Research Group. 48 per cent of respondents would vote for Democratic nominee John Kerry, while 47 per cent would support Republican incumbent George W. Bush. <snip>
Source: American Research Group
Methodology: Telephone interviews to 600 likely Ohio voters, conducted from Oct. 4 to Oct. 6, 2004. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
http://www.cpod.ubc.ca/polls/index.cfm?fuseaction=viewItem&itemID=4538


Oklahoma In Bush Column, Kerry Far Behind
(CPOD) Oct. 9, 2004 – George W. Bush would carry the state of Oklahoma in the 2004 United States presidential election, according to a poll by SurveyUSA released by KFOR-TV. 63 per cent of respondents would vote for the Republican incumbent, while 33 per cent would support Democratic nominee John Kerry. <snip>
Source: SurveyUSA / KFOR-TV
Methodology: Interviews to 613 likely Oklahoma voters, conducted from Oct. 4 to Oct. 6, 2004. Margin of error is 3.9 per cent.
http://www.cpod.ubc.ca/polls/index.cfm?fuseaction=viewItem&itemID=4532


In Oregon, Kerry Holds Double-Digit Lead
(CPOD) Oct. 10, 2004 – John Kerry could carry the state of Oregon, according to a poll by Zogby Interactive published in the Wall Street Journal Online. 53.8 per cent of respondents would vote for the Democratic nominee in the 2004 United States presidential election, while 43.7 per cent would support Republican incumbent George W. Bush. <snip>
Source: Zogby Interactive / The Wall Street Journal Online
Methodology: Online interviews to 925 Oregon voters, conducted from Sept. 30 to Oct. 5, 2004. Margin of error is 3.2 per cent.
http://www.cpod.ubc.ca/polls/index.cfm?fuseaction=viewItem&itemID=4551


Kerry Gains, Bush Drops In Pennsylvania
(CPOD) Oct. 10, 2004 – John Kerry is the top presidential candidate in Pennsylvania, according to a poll by Franklin and Marshall College’s Center for Opinion Research. 48 per cent of respondents would vote for the Democratic nominee in the 2004 United States presidential election, while 41 per cent would support Republican incumbent George W. Bush. <snip>
Source: Franklin and Marshall College’s Center for Opinion Research
Methodology: Interviews to 491 registered Pennsylvania voters, conducted from Sept. 8 to Sept. 15, 2004. Margin of error is 4.4 per cent.
http://www.cpod.ubc.ca/polls/index.cfm?fuseaction=viewItem&itemID=4549

Pennsylvania Finds Kerry, Bush Almost Even
(CPOD) Oct. 9, 2004 – The state of Pennsylvania is too close to call in the 2004 United States presidential election, according to a poll by SurveyUSA released by WCAU-TV. 49 per cent of respondents would vote for Democratic nominee John Kerry, while 47 per cent would support Republican incumbent George W. Bush. <snip>
Source: SurveyUSA / WCAU-TV
Methodology: Telephone interviews to 776 likely Pennsylvania voters, conducted from Oct. 3 to Oct. 5, 2004. Margin of error is 3.6 per cent. Percentages may not add up to 100 due to rounding.
http://www.cpod.ubc.ca/polls/index.cfm?fuseaction=viewItem&itemID=4534

Kerry Gains, Bush Stable In Pennsylvania
(CPOD) Oct. 8, 2004 – The state of Pennsylvania is too close to call in the 2004 United States presidential race, according to a poll by American Research Group. 48 per cent of respondents would vote for Democratic nominee John Kerry in the election, while 46 per cent would support Republican incumbent George W. Bush. <snip>
Source: American Research Group
Methodology: Interviews to 600 likely Pennsylvania voters, conducted from Oct. 4 to Oct. 6, 2004. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
http://www.cpod.ubc.ca/polls/index.cfm?fuseaction=viewItem&itemID=4523


Bush Extends Lead In Tennessee
(CPOD) Oct. 9, 2004 – George W. Bush could carry the state of Tennessee in the 2004 United States presidential election, according to a poll by SurveyUSA released by WBIR-TV. 58 per cent of respondents would vote for the Republican incumbent, while 39 per cent would support Democratic nominee John Kerry. <snip>
Source: SurveyUSA / WBIR-TV
Methodology: Interviews to 637 likely Tennessee voters, conducted from Oct. 3 to Oct. 5, 2004. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
http://www.cpod.ubc.ca/polls/index.cfm?fuseaction=viewItem&itemID=4536


Kerry/Edwards Extend Washington Lead
(CPOD) Oct. 10, 2004 – John Kerry and John Edwards could carry the state of Washington in the 2004 United States presidential election, according to a poll by Strategic Vision. 49 per cent of respondents would vote for the Democratic ticket, while 44 per cent would support Republican incumbents George W. Bush and Dick Cheney. <snip>
Source: Strategic Vision
Methodology: Telephone interviews to 801 likely Washington state voters, conducted from Oct. 4 to Oct. 6, 2004. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
Note: Strategic Vision frequently works for Republican candidates, but conducted the presidential poll independently.
http://www.cpod.ubc.ca/polls/index.cfm?fuseaction=viewItem&itemID=4540


In West Virginia, Bush Still Frontrunner
(CPOD) Oct. 9, 2004 – George W. Bush would carry the state of West Virginia in the 2004 United States presidential election, according to a poll by Zogby Interactive published in the Wall Street Journal Online. 50.1 per cent of respondents would vote for the Republican incumbent, while 44 per cent would support Democratic nominee John Kerry. <snip>
Source: Zogby Interactive / The Wall Street Journal Online
Methodology: Online interviews to 501 West Virginia voters, conducted from Sept. 30 to Oct. 5, 2004. Margin of error is 4.4 per cent.
http://www.cpod.ubc.ca/polls/index.cfm?fuseaction=viewItem&itemID=4537


Bush/Cheney First In Wisconsin
(CPOD) Oct. 9, 2004 – George W. Bush and Dick Cheney could carry the state of Wisconsin in the 2004 United States presidential election, according to a poll by Gallup released by CNN and USA Today. 49 per cent of respondents would vote for the Republican incumbents, while 46 per cent would support the Democratic ticket of John Kerry and John Edwards. <snip>
Source: Gallup / CNN / USA Today
Methodology: Telephone interviews to 704 likely Wisconsin voters, conducted from Oct. 3 to Oct. 5, 2004. Margin of error is 5 per cent.
http://www.cpod.ubc.ca/polls/index.cfm?fuseaction=viewItem&itemID=4528