Normalized Gallup poll results for debate

[SeanQ]

Here's my back-of-the-napkin normalization. Bringing dem and ind #'s polled up to # of republicans provides a total # polled to 588.

Normalized debate results are (rounded): 50% Kerry, 43% Bush, 7% Tie

Moves Kerry from winning by 2% to 7%!!!

Based on polling data from:
http://www.gallup.com/poll/content/?ci=13549

[EmperorHasNoClothes]

1. And that assumes an equal # of repubs and dems

which may have been true in 2000, but I bet it's not any more. I still won't be surprised if this election is a landslide in Kerry's favor (which isn't to say that the work is over!)

[rockymountaindem]

2. Actually, in 2000 it was 39% Dems and 35% Repubs