New Arkansas and PA Polls

[Thrill]

ARKANSAS (Bush won in 2000 by 5.4 percentage points)

Opinion Research Associates Inc., Oct. 4-6, 502 RV, MoE +/-5

_Bush, 52 percent

_Kerry, 43 percent

_Nader, 1 percent

_Undecided, 4 percent


PENNSYLVANIA (Gore won in 2000 by 4.2 percentage points)

West Chester University, Oct. 1-4, 585 LV, MoE +/-4

_Kerry, 47 percent

_Bush, 41 percent

_Unsure/other, 12 percent

http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&u=/ap/20041012/ap_on_el_pr/presidential_polls_glance&cid=694&ncid=1963&sid=96378798

[Lefty Pragmatist]

1. I'll take that trade.

Any day.

[deckerd]

3. False Dichotomy

Kerry Needs Arkansas. Arkansas is the first Southern state to fall -- before Florida, before even West Virginia. Bush has been consistently ahead in Florida this year when the polls are averaged and even the vast majority of Dems acknowledge they can't count on voter anger there, due to massive population turnover and preoccpation with natural disasters.

In Arkansas, Kerry was neck-and-neck through August and september until the VERY DAY his campaign withdrew. Then the poll gap jumped almost immediately on news that Kerry had abandoned the state.

Check out the Votemaster website state poll graph for confirmation of this trend: Kerry and northeastern Dems essentially told Arkansas to go to hell, we don't need you.

[9119495]

2. Can't Clinton recuperate in Arkansas on someone's front porch from now

to Nov. 3?

Mr. President, are you on DU right now? Will you consider it?

[deckerd]

4. The Very Fact of His Recuperation would make even ONE visit a huge story!

Geez, Dems, get a clue. ARK is serious business. :evilfrown: