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Rasmussen Battleground for 10/11

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louis c Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-11-04 09:33 PM
Original message
Rasmussen Battleground for 10/11
Rasmussen 3 day national tracking numbers for today are Bush 49.0% to Kerry 45.4%. This is a slight 0.4% Kerry gain from yesterday.

http://rasmussenreports.com

Zogby 3 day national tracking for the same period has 47% for Kerry and 44% for Bush, with 1.7% for Nader, about 1% for others and 6% undecided.

http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=882

As far as Electoral Votes are concerned, Zogby has it at 278 for Kerry to 207 for Bush.

http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=879

Rasmussen has it 240 for Bush and 194 for Kerry.

Now, Rasmussen's 7 day rolling averages for 5 key battleground states are:

Florida, bush 49%-45% (This is a 1 point Kerry gain from yesterday, and 3 points in five days)

Michigan, Kerry 50%-46% (This is a 1 point Kerry gain from yesterday)

Minnesota, Kerry 47%-45% (This is unchanged from yesterday)

Ohio, Bush 50%-45% (This is a 1 point Bush gain from yesterday, and his largest lead in over two weeks)

Pennsylvania, Kerry 48%-46% (This is a 1 point Bush gain, but the fourth day in a row of a Kerry lead)

I have added some Zogby numbers because I have become some what suspicious of the Rasmussen numbers. As I have said here before, I always check the Rasmussen data with whatever free data is available at Zogby. As it turns out, they are at odds in some areas.

Naturally, I prefer Zogby. Not just because he puts my guy in front, but because he was far more accurate than Rasmussen in 2000.

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zach Donating Member (71 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-11-04 09:38 PM
Response to Original message
1. Thanks Louis
I kept checking earlier this evening for your Rasmussen update as always. I appreciate you posting this every day!

Have a good one.
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louis c Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-11-04 09:42 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. Actually
We're out campaigning this Holiday in New Hampshire. I tried to post on a friends lap top at 5:30, to no avail.

Just got home.

God Bless John Kerry and the Red Sox.

I already have my two TV system hooked up for Wednesday night. I'll watch and listen to the debate on the big screen, with the picture, without sound of the Sox game on the little one.

I can't wait.
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KC21304 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-11-04 09:44 PM
Response to Original message
3. Thanks again Louis.
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dennis4868 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-11-04 09:46 PM
Response to Original message
4. Rasmussen 3 day national tracking numbers
is not good news for Kerry....after Bush's two lousy performances in the debates and the NO WMD REPORT I thought Kerry would start running away with this thing....WTF? :-(
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louis c Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-11-04 09:52 PM
Response to Reply #4
5. Zogby is trending in the right direction.
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