soleft
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Tue Oct-12-04 10:03 AM
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Was Truman/Dewey the last race this close involving an incumbent |
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And except for Truman has an incumbent ever not been leading with 3 weeks left and won? What were the Bush I/Clinton numbers 3 weeks out?
Need some positive messages here because I'm nervous about a) Sinclair b) Nuisance ads c) * making black and white answers to complex questions and being hailed by the media as showing greater moral clarity.
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leftchick
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Tue Oct-12-04 10:06 AM
Response to Original message |
1. I for one do not believe it is "this close"... |
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not in the least. I have been working and listening to people in my CONSERVATIVE part of NC for quite a while now. The only support idiotboy* has now is his base, period! Do not let the corrupt polls fool you like our corrupt media trys to.
:)
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underpants
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Tue Oct-12-04 10:07 AM
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2. Actually I believe Carter Ford was at least this close |
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of course we had no idea how screwed up the voting machines were then. Hell Ford might have actually won the damned thing.
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dolstein
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Tue Oct-12-04 10:07 AM
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3. Actually, the Carter/Reagan race remained close until the last few weeks |
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Reagan pulled away at the end, but it was actually close through much of the fall.
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tishaLA
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Tue Oct-12-04 10:15 AM
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4. In that one, the debate was right before the election, I think |
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with this, the distance between the debate and the election gives the race a strange dynamic. george has to hope nothing happens in Iraq and he has to pray Sen. Kerry makes a major gaffe.
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soleft
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Tue Oct-12-04 10:20 AM
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5. well, with Ford/Carter - Carter/Reagon that's good news |
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Cause in both cases the incument lost. I mean, it's not good that Carter lost, you know what I mean.
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SheilaT
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Tue Oct-12-04 10:32 AM
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6. There was also a lot of faulty polling |
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in 1948. Most (maybe all?) of the major pollsters stopped polling two weeks before the election, because they were under the impression that hardly anyone made up their mind in the last two weeks.
There were also numerous stories of Republicans who were so confident that Dewey would win that they didn't bother to vote. Not sure how much of that is urban legend, however.
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DU
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Sat May 04th 2024, 06:05 AM
Response to Original message |