Kerry up in Ohio, Wisc, Minnesota in new poll

[montana500]

Results From Iowa, Minn., Ohio, Wisc.


http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&u=/ap/20041013/ap_on_el_pr/presidential_polls_glance&cid=694&ncid=1963&sid=96378798


1 hour, 23 minutes ago

By The Associated Press

Results of recent polls on the presidential race. Listed above each set of results is the name of the organization that conducted the poll, the dates, the number interviewed, whether they were adults, registered voters (RV) or likely voters (LV) and the margin of error (MoE). Results might not total 100 percent because of rounding.



Trend, when available from the same polling firm, is in parentheses after the current numbers.


IOWA (Gore won in 2000 by 0.3 percentage points)


Market Shares Corp.-Chicago Tribune, Oct. 9-11, 500 LV, MoE +/-5


_George W. Bush, 47 percent


_John Kerry, 45 percent


_Ralph Nader, 1 percent


_Unsure, 7 percent


MINNESOTA (Gore won in 2000 by 2.4 percentage points)


Market Shares Corp.-Chicago Tribune, Oct. 9-11, 500 LV, MoE +/-5


_John Kerry, 45 percent


_George W. Bush, 43 percent


_Ralph Nader, 2 percent


_Unsure/Other, 10 percent


OHIO (Bush won in 2000 by 3.6 percentage points)


Market Shares Corp.-Chicago Tribune, Oct. 9-11, 500 LV, MoE +/-5


_John Kerry, 49 percent





_George W. Bush, 45 percent

_Undecided/Other, 6 percent

WISCONSIN (Gore won in 2000 by 0.2 percentage points)

Market Shares Corp.-Chicago Tribune, Oct. 9-11, 500 LV, MoE +/-5

_John Kerry, 47 percent

_George W. Bush, 43 percent

_Ralph Nader, 2 percent

_Unsure, 8 percent

[DU9598]

1. Iowa

Kerry is ahead in Iowa and he will win here. The state party's absentee ballot initiative has this state locked up.

That being said, this gives me so much hope. It is nice to know that Ohio may be joining Iowa, Minnesota, and Wisconsin as a Democratic state. That should be the ball game, right?

Now, we just need to start working on Indiana. It appears to be the only Big Ten state not joining in the Democratic ranks.

[PATRICK]

3. Sounds like debate tailspin

Bush supporters may be paying a heavy price for late debates and suppressing the damage. The slower building slump is very predictable and still in progress. The third debate may be meaningless except if- unlike 2000- it exceeds the usual debate audience share and is not mainly viewed by Bushies and undecideds. It will be big too, but the "no knockout punch" "Bush does surprisingly better" "race still tight" will actually only put off the inevitable with no way to comeback as Gore did.

By the time the full crash hits it will be November. The Kerry camp might like that for the turnout it will guarantee but it makes us very nervous and for good cause.

[FlaIndie]

4. * was projected to win Iowa in polls in 2000

Same shit, different year. Iowa is Kerry country.

[zaj]

2. Summary: Kerry= Ohio, Wisconsin, Minnesota... Bush=Iowa (n/t)

[montana500]

5. yeah it's good news

very good.