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Kerry Takes Lead in WP/ABC Tracking Poll (Ruy Teixeira)

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On the Road Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-13-04 01:51 PM
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Kerry Takes Lead in WP/ABC Tracking Poll (Ruy Teixeira)
Not in the silly LV data they like to feature, but where it counts: in their RV data. Kerry now leads by 2 points among RVs in the WP/ABC tracking poll, compared to 2 points down 3 days ago and 6 points down a week ago.

Alan Abramowitz adds this note on the WP tracking poll's idiosyncracies:

The latest ABC/Washington Post tracking poll is showing a 3 point lead for George Bush among likely voters but a 2 point lead for John Kerry among registered voters. This means that the ABC/WP poll is projecting that 85.1 percent of registered Bush supporters will vote but only 76.6 percent of registered Kerry supporters will vote--an 8.5 point Republican turnout advantage. Over the past several days, there has been a consistent LV/RV discrepancy of about this magnitude in the poll. However, data from the past three presidential elections shows that the Republican turnout advantage has never been larger than 3 points.

---snip

http://www.emergingdemocraticmajorityweblog.com/donkeyrising/archives/000773.php

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More good news from the polling people, even if it's presented in the least favorable way.
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On the Road Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-13-04 03:12 PM
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1. A Kick for the Late Afternoon
:kick:
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