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ABC says 42% Kerry 41% Bush...BUT 38% Republicans polled!!

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jab105 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-13-04 09:52 PM
Original message
ABC says 42% Kerry 41% Bush...BUT 38% Republicans polled!!
and only 30% democrats...
28% independents...

And of course, ABC just spins that its a tie...

AGHHGHGH!!!!!!!!!
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UCLA Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-13-04 09:53 PM
Response to Original message
1. You know that liberal media!!
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jab105 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-13-04 09:57 PM
Response to Reply #1
3. I couldn't believe that they never said that since MORE
Democrats vote than Republicans...and Republicans are calling it a win for Kerry...then its actually a huge win for Kerry!
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atre Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-13-04 09:56 PM
Response to Original message
2. All of their post-debate polls have been skewed
I don't know why all these pollsters are oversampling Republicans.
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TheWebHead Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-13-04 09:59 PM
Response to Original message
4. that polling % needs to be touted aggresively
hopefully Brock will highlight this and we need to get that out too to avoid Bush won meme
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NightOwwl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-13-04 10:00 PM
Response to Original message
5. How can they get valid results
when they close the poll 2 minutes after the end of the debate?
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0rganism Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-13-04 10:02 PM
Response to Original message
6. Once Diebold gets done with us, that'll be the ratio getting counted
so we'd better HOPE Kerry wins over some republicans.
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DaveofCali Donating Member (434 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-13-04 10:04 PM
Response to Original message
7. 41% for Bush but 38% Republicans? and 30% Democrats? Kerry won!
22% independents and 42% - 30% Democrats (assuming equal amount of polarization between the sides), then that means Kerry captured 12% of Independents out of 22%, while Bush only got (41%-38%=) 3% of Independents!
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DaveofCali Donating Member (434 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-13-04 10:06 PM
Response to Reply #7
8. of course, thats a soft analysis
But either way I believe Kerry won Among Independents, at least on that poll.
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