Anyone got feel for the likely Nader vote in the 8 Battleground States he

[papau]

has made it to the ballot?

They are Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Minnesota, New Mexico, Nevada, New Hampshire and Wisconsin. He is appealing the Court rulings in PA and Ohio, but with luck, he will not be on the ballot there.

[Wickerman]

1. I've seen 2% in Minnesota

and anecdotally heard of some Repugs who can't pull the trigger for Bush but will vote for Ralphie as a protest.

http://www.startribune.com/stories/784/5029409.html
On the eve of the third and final presidential debate, Sen. John Kerry has the support of 48 percent of likely voters in Minnesota while President Bush has the support of 43 percent, a new Star Tribune Minnesota Poll has found.

Two percent of likely voters said they will vote for independent candidate Ralph Nader, and 7 percent remain undecided three weeks before Election Day.

[papau]

3. That fits with Ras's 2.4% "other" vote fairly well - thanks

A 2.2% spread today - up from a 1.6 spread on the 12th?

Election 2004

Date Bush Kerry
Today 48.1 45.9
Oct 13 47.6 46.2
Oct 12 47.4 45.8


Election 2004

Presidential Ballot

Bush 48.1%
Kerry 45.9%
Other 2.4%
Not Sure 3.7%

[IIgnoreNobody]

2. No, but I've got a picture of the likely Nader voter

[GiovanniC]

4. I Don't Think He'll Be Much of a Factor In Michigan

His support has dropped to nil as far as I can tell.

[papau]

5. GREAT! :-) n/t

:-)