Remember folks, it's Zogby who's saying it's Kerry's to lose.

[trumad]

Zogby's written good stuff on why JK will win this election. SO...let's not get to caught up in the daily polls and that includes his.

[unfrigginreal]

1. Zogby this morning looks to be a temporary aberration

Check out this poll just out from ABC:

New ABC News Poll Shows Sen. Kerry Gaining Ground on President Bush

Oct. 14, 2004 -- President Bush and Sen. John Kerry leave the presidential debates at near-parity in their personal popularity — a significant gain for Kerry, and a loss of ground for Bush, that spell a toughly fought battle in the campaign's closing weeks.

Today 48 percent of likely voters have a basically favorable opinion of Kerry, up nine points since before the first debate; 43 percent view him unfavorably. In the same time Bush's unfavorable rating has gained six points — 40 percent then, 46 percent now. Bush's advantage on favorability, the most basic measure of a public figure's popularity, is gone.

snip

The debates — particularly the first debate, which Kerry was broadly seen as having won — clearly changed the complexion of the contest, breathing new life into Kerry's campaign by lifting him over the hurdle of basic acceptability. And the rise in Bush's unfavorable rating suggests he did himself no particular favors in the same debates. The question is where the candidates, with their newfound parity in favorability and vote preference, go from here in the campaign's final sprint.

http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/story?id=165778

[sendero]

2. People need to remember....

... that even a WELL DESIGNED poll that samples 1200 or so people has a margin of error of 3-4%.

That means if you had two different set of pollsters conducting the same poll from the same set of people at the same time, the results could vary 3-4% EITHER WAY.

The sky is not falling here, Kerry will win.