Scripps survey - RV K 50 - B 45 , LV B48 K47

[swag]

http://www.newspolls.org/story.php?story_id=33

It's an interesting article, which explains how this group identifies LVs, etc. Many other numbers therein.

Turnout is key.

[fujiyama]

1. I really think

Kerry will get about 50% of the total vote...maybe a little less 49...but he will win the popular vote.

The EC OTOH is kind of a toss up....WI, IA, NM, FL, OH, NV....All will determine the real outcome.

[cthrumatrix]

2. the polls tell us ONE thing.... get everyone you know to VOTE

[swag]

3. Chris Bowers of www.mydd.com fame pulls the "money quote"

"Sixty percent of registered voters who say they "rarely" vote in major elections also say America is headed in the wrong direction. If they go to the polls next month, they will support Kerry over Bush by more than a 2-to-1 margin."

Bowers goes on to say that if these voters turn out, there is no way Kerry can lose. We must make turnout happen.

[Renew Deal]

4. It's interesting

There are multiple groups working on identifying and turning out Kerry voters. Help them if you can. This is good for Kerry overall.