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truthpusher Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-15-04 01:26 PM
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Good News about Zogby.
From www.MyDD.com



"While I have yet to crack the day-to-day samples of the Zogby tracking poll, I think I have come pretty close to the Rasmussen daily samples, tahnks significantly to the work of diarists Winger and globecanvas. Here are, to the bet of my ability, the single day Rasmussen samples since the beginning of October:

Bush Kerry
10/1 49.7 45.1
10/2 48.0 47.2
10/3 48.0 46.1
10/4 48.0 47.5
10/5 45.7 47.1
10/6 49.8 45.5
10/7 49.8 45.7
10/8 49.2 46.7
10/9 49.7 44.2
10/10 48.2 45.4
10/11 44.1 48.0
10/12 50.5 45.2
10/13 50.9 44.5
10/14 45.6 46.8

Even though Bush gained today, it was not because he had a strong single day sample yesterday. In fact, the only reason Bush gained today was because Kerry's strongest single day sample in five weeks, Monday's 48.0-44.1, dropped out of the three-day average. Kerry actually has an early lead in Sunday's three-day average, 15.6-15.2. Kerry is slightly behind going into tomorrow's three-day average, 32.2-30.4"

http://www.mydd.com/
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On the Road Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-15-04 01:40 PM
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1. Ah, the Dog that Barks Twice!
Technical stock analysts dislike a simple moving average for this reason and often use an exponential moving average in which more recent numbers are given greater weight.
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