Rasmussen Battleground for 10/15 (Mixed News)

[louis c]

Rasmussen 3 Day National Tracking Poll for 10/15 has Bush at 49.0% to Kerry at 45.5%. That's a nearly 1 point Bush gain from yesterday.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com

Zogby has the tracking poll for the same period as Bush 48% to Kerry at 44%. That's a 3 point Bush gain from yesterday.

http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews886.html

As bad as the tracking poll has been in the last two days, the state polls have not been as bad.

Florida, Bush 49%-46% (This is a 1 point Bush gain from yesterday)

Michigan, Kerry 48%-46% (This is unchanged from yesterday)

Ohio, Bush 50%-46% (This is a 2 point Bush gain from yesterday. This is the state to be watched the closest, because I feel whoever wins Ohio, wins the election. Cleveland has the most poverty of any major US city. 1/4 of all jobs lost nationwide, are in Ohio. More people have lost health care here than any other state. Ohio has the largest drop in a workers average salary. WTF, how can Bush even be close here? Either Rasmussen is wrong, or the people in Ohio are)

Pennsylvania, Kerry 48%-44% (This is a 3 point Kerry gain from yesterday. At least someone seems to "get it". Let's hope it sticks)

Minnesota, 48%-45% (This is unchanged from yesterday, but remains good news)

[WI_DEM]

1. Do you know what Ras has for Wisconsin?

[louis c]

3. Rasmussen Polls Wisconsin Weekly

On Tuesday, October 12, Rasmussen had Wisconsin Bush 48% to Kerry 45%. These numbers were basically unchanged from the 10/5 poll of 49%-46%, Bush.

The next Rasmussen update for Wisconsin will be on Tuesday, October 19.

[annerevere]

2. thanks for the report, louis c

Overall, it's okay news.

[montana500]

4. rassmussen is a rtepublican pollster

who gives a fuck what he says?

[louis c]

5. Zogby is A Democrat

and the numbers are close (see the link)

Everyone has to be something. Both Zogby and Rasmussen are independent pollsters (Not corporate, like Gallup), and need to prove accuracy this time around.

None of these numbers are bad for Kerry 2 1/2 weeks out.

the undecideds will break our way, the heavy turnout will be ours. Our side is angrier than their's.

I've been involved in many elections at small levels (State Rep, City Council, Mayors of small cities) and there is no greater incentive than anger. Anger can not be measured in a poll, it will only be reflected on election day.

Every poll that you see today, you can add 4 or 5 points to Kerry just on that anger factor alone.

Don't discount these polls, but don't take these numbers as gospel. Watch the trend, and all the momentum has been with us.

I want these polls to show small margins either way, that will hike turnout, and the larger the vote, the better for us.

Democrats always fare better with larger turnouts, especially when they are the challenger.