ELECTION MODEL: KERRY 327 EV, 99% WIN PROB, 51.44% OF THE VOTE

[TruthIsAll]

New: Summaries of the methodologies used in the model.

http://www.geocities.com/electionmodel/

[opihimoimoi]

1. I hope to God you are correct in this. My guts are in turmoil and

will be for the nx 2 weeks and 3 days..... dammit all to hell... we got 2 weeks to fret and sweat.

But Thank you TIA for all the work and effort in this momentous of battles. You are a damn good soldier. I would have you as my wing man any fucking time.

Come, we go have a damn drink. on me..... and then we laugh, smile, eat.....sing even...LOL

[KitSileya]

9. I know what you mean.

The next 2 1/2 weeks are going to be hell on earth. How are we going to manage. The tension is building higher and higher.

[TruthIsAll]

11. Opi, keep your chin up. The chimp is going down.

Come, we go pick bananas..

[niceypoo]

2. It will ride on democratic turnout

If democrats turn out in large numbers Bush loses. If the democrat turn out is weak Bush wins.

[rndmprsn]

3. on victory day...

i'm going to post a HUGE thank you for keeping our spirits up and for all the hard work involved.
peace.

[wakeup call]

4. Like Art...

I don't know much about statistics, but I know what I like.

[TruthIsAll]

5. Dim son win probability is less than 5%

tia

[TruthIsAll]

6. Time for Bed; last kick

tia

[Heath.Hunnicutt]

7. What is next?

If you are looking for suggestions, I want by-state models. :)

Thanks for all the good work.

[TruthIsAll]

8. I updated the home page to make for a clearer summary.

As far as the states are concerned, I show the current polls and projections. I think I'll stop there.

Thanks

[gristy]

10. Thanks for the latest, TIA

Just 2 more weeks!