Newsweek poll: Bush ahead?!?!?!?

[davidjhorrell]

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/bush_vs_kerry.html

HOW IS THIS HAPPENING? He was AWFUL. Are the sheeple really this stupid?

I weep for the nation.

[rndmprsn]

1. So it begins...

the massive propaganda/poll push to make sure shrub gets the keys to the kingdom again and de-regulation for the media is assured.

[montana500]

2. he is not ahead at all

and the poll used more repubs.

[lancdem]

3. Among RVs, they oversampled Repukes

In 2000, 4 percent more Dems voted than Repubs. The Newsweek poll surveyed 4 percent more Repukes than Dems, an 8-point swing. I suspect the LV numbers are even worse. Plus, Kerry leads independents in this poll by 11 points. No way he loses if that's the case.

[muchacho]

4. idiots

ignore the media whores.

[featherman]

5. Throw this one in the garbage

Respondents skewed toward the GOP. Also check this out and tell me that this is an accurate poll. Whatta joke!

"Bush has a clear advantage with women, who prefer him 49 percent to 43 percent. Kerry has a slight edge with men, 50 percent to 46 percent."

[Reciprocity]

6. HOW IS THIS HAPPENING? Here's how.

Check out partisan breakdown of latest Newsweek poll

354 Republicans (plus or minus 6)
317 Democrats (plus or minus 6)
284 Independents (plus or minus 6)
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x1087865

[rjbny62]

9. oversampled

37% rep
33% dem
30% ind

http://biz.yahoo.com/prnews/041016/nysa012_1.html

[Dinger]

Yawwwnnnnnn. . . . Getting Sleepy.....

[GR]

7. Click On The Damn Link...

Headline...It's deadlocked...Drudge is full of shit...

When we see the repubs vs. dem numbers I'll bet it's heavily rethug...

This asshole is not going to lie his way back into the Whitehouse again.

Monkeys don't make good presimadents...

[w4rma]

8. Ignore the polls. Spend your time much more wisely. (nt)

[montana500]

10. WTF? why are you at real clear politics.com?

thats a raging right wing site. Use pollingreport.com

[davidjhorrell]

12. The poll was done by Newsweek

Saw the link on Sludge. Didn't realise RealClear was right-wing - but the results are true, no?

[montana500]

18. people please dont post here after viewing drudge's site

do not post here after viewing the Drudge site.

I was that was a DU rule.

[Bush was AWOL]

15. You had no problem replying awesome to the post where I

used realclearpolitics.com? Yeah, it's a raging right wing sight, but it takes the averages of all the polls. The state polls that we need to win we're either leading or within margin of error.

[unfrigginreal]

11. Run along now

[Bush was AWOL]

13. Kerry is in good shape

We've registered more voters, so any state we're trailing within margin of error is up for grabs. Bush is the one who is in trouble as more and more polls show him being finished in Pennsylvania, and fading in Ohio. We can lose Florida, split Iowa Wisconsin as long as we take New Hampshire, Ohio, PA, Oregon (which is in the bag in my opinion) and New Mexico. We're in good shape, and to win, all we need to do is get out the vote.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/Presidential_04/RCP_EC.html#avgs

[alisongiggles1960]

14. Don't Worry

The polls are directed at specific area codes fairly guaranteeing a desired outcome.

Bush will be selling his ass to Macdonald's after America makes minced meat out of it.

DON'T eat at Macdonald's! LOL.

[newyawker99]

19. Hi alisongiggles1960!!

Welcome to DU!! :toast:

[alisongiggles1960]

20. Hi!! Thanks for the welcome :)

I'm a new member but have been lurking for ages. LibertyorDeath is my husband, so I've been kept well in tune via daily rants, LOL

Hope the little ones afford me a few minutes from time to time to post.

[craiga86]

16. They think that there is going to be average Dem turnout

The fact of the matter is, Democrats are registering people at record numbers across the country, and that the Repugs are scrambling to maintain their base. These things aren't being reflected in these polls, they are poll a thousand of so people and pluging in percentages. They seem to think there is going to be record turn out for Repugs and average for democrats. If polls with these formulas are this close, then it really looks good for Kerry.

[CindyDale]

17. Everybody just vote, and it will be OK

The poll just says we have to vote. If the first time voters and younger voters go to the polls, we will be OK, even according to this poll.

Cindy

[Reciprocity]

21. Kick

[belle]

22. It's effectively a dead heat anyway, same as last time.

In that poll, I mean--they say so themselves. A two point difference one way or the other doesn't mean much. And yes, they still are oversampling Republicans. Also: swing voters have a significant lean toward Kerry. That matters.