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breaking: Kerry leads 10 points in battleground state polls

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montana500 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-16-04 08:20 PM
Original message
breaking: Kerry leads 10 points in battleground state polls
Edited on Sat Oct-16-04 08:21 PM by montana500
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A38563-2004Oct16.html


The Post tracking poll shows Bush leading Kerry 50 to 47 percent. Independent Ralph Nader continues to barely register nationally, getting 2 percent of the hypothetical vote. But the survey suggests that Kerry continues to claim a large lead in key battleground states. In these 13 states, Kerry held a 53 percent to 43 percent advantage among likely voters.
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alittlelark Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-16-04 08:23 PM
Response to Original message
1. But the headline and 80%+ of the story is Cheneys daughter!!!
Here's the "meat"

<snip>
But the survey suggests that Kerry continues to claim a large lead in key battleground states. In these 13 states, Kerry held a 53 percent to 43 percent advantage among likely voters.


A total of 1,555 registered voters were interviewed Wednesday through Friday nights, including 1,203 likely voters. The margin of sampling error is plus or minus three percentage points for the overall results. It is plus or minus six percentage points for the question asking views on Kerry's comment about Cheney's daughter, which was asked on Thursday night.
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IconoclastIlene Donating Member (554 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-16-04 08:25 PM
Response to Reply #1
5. Yeah, they are reading about the Cheney's and getting more nutzo
about the administration currently holding office.

Give em enough room to hang themselves, please.
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BUSHOUT Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-16-04 08:24 PM
Response to Original message
2. Jeez. I should have read "the meat" and left it at that!
Edited on Sat Oct-16-04 08:25 PM by BUSHOUT
That article got me all pissed off and mad, and then there's a lump of good news at the end.

I CAN'T TAKE THIS ROLLERCOASTER!!!
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bemildred Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-16-04 08:24 PM
Response to Original message
3. Self delete. nt
Edited on Sat Oct-16-04 08:25 PM by bemildred
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MichiganVote Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-16-04 08:24 PM
Response to Original message
4. Key phrase, "likely voters". That group usually doesn't include
1. First time voters, of which Dem's have resigtered hundreds of thousands

2. Young people, as in eligible for a draft
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troublemaker Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-16-04 08:26 PM
Response to Original message
6. Looks like the third debate was a polarizing
event aimed (by Kerry) at swing states only. Bush may hit 80% in AL, but who cares?
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BillZBubb Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-16-04 08:38 PM
Response to Reply #6
9. The third debate was polarized by Bush*, not Kerry
Bush* was trying to re-energize his base. Kerry was swinging for the middle. It looks like both succeeded!
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Gloria Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-16-04 08:30 PM
Response to Original message
7. Yes....but....there is no breakdown by state, so this doesn't tell much...
As for the Cheney question: Note the margin of error is 6% compared to the overall 4%. Who did they question?? Repugs only? The say it is likely voters...(they did break LV his group out of the registered total)...but that's quite a large MOE.
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tedoll78 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-16-04 08:32 PM
Response to Original message
8. What this tells me..
The REDneck states are giving Bush a larger lead than the Blue states. This is the only way in which Bush is numerically able to come into a nationwide tie with Kerry.

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oscar111 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-16-04 08:39 PM
Response to Reply #8
10. Kerry loses popular vote, WINS electoral college
how ironic.
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tedoll78 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-16-04 08:40 PM
Response to Reply #10
11. And you know what?
I could care less about the popular vote. Just gimme President Kerry and a chorus line of Stevens clones on the court!
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Kahuna Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-16-04 09:30 PM
Response to Reply #10
15. Wouldn't that be sweeet?
}(
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Guaranteed Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-17-04 01:15 AM
Response to Reply #8
16. Yup, the rednecks are all for Bush. That's exactly it.
He's gonna get like 80% of Mississippi or something LOL.
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fizzana Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-16-04 08:44 PM
Response to Original message
12. I don't care if states like Texas, Idaho
Wyoming, Montana, Utah go 80% fro Bush. Let him have those votes.
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tedoll78 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-16-04 08:45 PM
Response to Reply #12
13. Hell..
Let Texas secede if it wants.
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PCIntern Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-16-04 08:55 PM
Response to Reply #13
14. Mah Daddy used t'say thet...
may he rest in peace - he told me that after the Civil War, they should have let Texas just stay independent and fight continuous wars with Mexico.

He never forgave the whole state for its complicity in the Kennedy Assassination.
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