Per Zogby's 10-14 thru 10-16 polling...
https://interactive.zogby.com/clickon/products.dbm (subscription)
1. Senator John Kerry shaves two-points from President Bush’s lead (Kerry 44%, Bush 46%), according to a new Reuters/Zogby daily tracking poll.
2. President Bush’s favorable rating is unchanged from yesterday: 55%, with his disapproval numbers dropping a point back to 43%. Senator Kerry’s ratings hold at 53% favorable and 45% unfavorable, where they have been for several days.
Mr. Bush’s favorability is strong with the following groups: NASCAR Fans (68%); Protestants (65%)—which climbs to 73% among Born Again Christians; investors (63%); whites (61%); southerners (61%); members of the armed forces (57%); 30-49 year-olds (59%); residents of the “Red States” (59%); residents of small cities (58%); residents of the Central/Great Lakes region (56%); Republicans (94%); and conservatives (83%).
Senator Kerry’s favorable rating is highest among: African Americans (90%); single respondents (67%);
18-29 year olds (60%); easterners (60%);
those age 65+ (58%) ; residents of large cities (57%); residents of “Blue States” (57%); divorced/widowed/single respondents (56%); westerners (55%); suburbanites (55%); non-investors (54%); Democrats (87%); progressives (77%); liberals (91%); and moderates (59%).
3. The right track/wrong track numbers are unchanged from yesterday. Forty-five percent continue to say the country is headed the right way, while
48% say the country is headed on the wrong track. 4. Mr. Bush’s re-elect numbers slipped a bit overnight, with support for his re-election dropping a point and those calling for someone new increasing by a point, for a two-point shift overall, with 5% still unsure. Mr. Bush’s strongest support for re-election comes from his base.
"The third debate is now registering among voters and Kerry had a good day, leading by two points today alone. He now is behind by only two overall. He managed today to regain a good lead among 18-29 year olds (especially 18-24 year olds, who he will need on November 2 to win). He also has consolidated his lead among Hispanics and is now only yielding 12 points to Bush among Democrats.
"Kerry and Bush are tied among Catholics, a fascinating dynamic to watch this year. Kerry must win among Catholics to win this year. Kerry holds solid advantages among Moderates (51%-36%).
"The President is still on the short-end on his job performance and re-elect. Kerry leads among new voters (46%-42%), while the President holds a slight advantage among those who have already voted (46%-42%).
"Among Undecided voters, the President has a 34% positive job rating, 66% negative. And only 18% say he deserves to be re-elected to 39% who say it is time for someone new. Among this latter group, 99% say they are likely to vote.
“Not only has the race closed, but Kerry has opened a gender gap and has expanded his lead also among seniors (65+), single women and union members. Bush is still strong with investors and Born Again Christians. Where is Nader going?"
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