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Once again, Gallup is the irresponsible out-lier. Disregard them.

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vickie Donating Member (663 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-17-04 12:11 PM
Original message
Once again, Gallup is the irresponsible out-lier. Disregard them.
They continually oversample republicans which would lend credence to them coming to a distortion such as "* Bush labeling Kerry is beginning to stick". Well, duh, among GOPers, that may be the case. Among the rest of us, it's hogwash!

All other polls are tied, or within the margin of error. Kerry on, make calls and Get Out the Vote!

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liberalhistorian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-17-04 12:17 PM
Response to Original message
1. George Gallup is a religious
conservative who, as I've just discovered, wrote the introduction to a new book written by another religious right author about the changing demographics of religion in America. That pretty much says it all to me right there about his "scientific objectivity."

To me, polls are mostly bullshit. I minored in sociology in college and I had to take several classes on polling and sampling methodology (BLECHHH!), and the dirty little secret is that you can pretty much manipulate the results of polls anyway you want them to. And that includes polls done with results favorable to our side and our causes.

And I have never, ever, in 22 years of adulthood, been polled, no one else in my family has ever been polled, and I don't know of ANYONE AT ALL who's ever been polled. All the media focus on polls and all the hysteria and hoopla over them is just a bullshit waste of time. And, again, that includes polls favorable to our side.
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Kahuna Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-17-04 12:21 PM
Response to Original message
2. Knock 5 to 7 points off of their number for * and Kerry is ahead.
They did the same crap in 2000.
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diplomats Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-17-04 12:29 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. Another fact to remember
Every recent poll on http://www.pollingreport.com shows Bush with an approval rating no higher than 49 percent. An incumbent president never gets a higher percentage of the vote than his rating, so there's no damn way Bush'll get 52 percent of the vote.
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