Electoral Vote - Kerry 284 - Bush 247

[Steely_Dan]

Here is something that should make us all feel a little better. Check out this site for the latest on EV and other fun stuff.


http://www.electoral-vote.com/

[Jack_Dawson]

1. Tweety said Kerry should win PA and OH

and if he can win MN or WI it's over.

[ClassWarrior]

3. I'm working on Wisconsin, Jack!

Help us out in California - volunteer to call voters in a swing state.

24.

[Jack_Dawson]

6. Thx again for the bumpersticker, CW

I see about 8 Kerry stickers to every 1 B/C

Would love to volunteer. Hell I called 200 Tenneseeans for General Clark...

Howz Kerry doing in Wisconsin, anyway?

JD

[Randi_Listener]

2. Rout

If this trend continues, the rout is on.

Fuckface better drop in a Terra Alert to get the polls swinging back into his fucking favor.

[Rose Siding]

4. That map gives FL to Kerry

I'll believe that when I see it. OH is a safer bet.

[Beetwasher]

5. Kerry WILL Get The Most Votes In FL, But It Will Still Go To Bush

Unfortunately...I've always said we have to plan on winning w/out Florida...

[Jeff in Cincinnati]

10. That's looking more and more likely...

...it would be awesome if we won WITH Florida to turn it into an EC Rout!

[realcountrymusic]

7. But but but

That site is run by a Republican shill (or so far too many people keep saying on DU).

People who slam E-V.com, please note. He calls it like his mathematical model sees it.

It's an excellent site.

He has Florida by 1 percent in a 10/17 Survey USA poll, the most recent. Means little, except that Kerry is competitive. It's all about *massive* Dem turnout to stop election fraud in Florida.

RCM

Best. Anti-Bush.Country. Song. Ever.
http://www.takinmycountryback.com

[Steely_Dan]

8. So...

Are we to believe these numbers?

-P

[realcountrymusic]

9. Believe's got nothin' to do with it

To paraphrase Clint Eastwood in *Unforgiven.* E-V.com just keeps a running tally of all state polls, or virtually all, and updates his map with whatever the very latest poll is. It's only one of many poll-watching models, with the virtue of simplicity.

The only way to understand polls in the aggregate is to observe them for clear trendlines across multiple polls. The trendline in Florida is flat.

I guess my point is that I don't know why people get so upset when numbers turn against us, and get into blaming the messenger (even Gallup, though I do think CNN is corrupt and manages to present Gallup numbers so they are discouraging to Democrats). Equally, I don't know why anyone would look at E-V.com today and breathe a sigh of relief. Yeah, we winning today. But more than 100 EVs are in states within the margin of error on one side or the other. Don't mistake the map for the territory -- a classic military error.

RCM


Best. Anti-Bush.Country. Song. Ever.
http://www.takinmycountryback.com

[Steely_Dan]

11. Thanks

That was a great explanation. I'f like to know where the other poll watching sites are.

-P

[Nashyra]

12. Ohio will go Kerry

304 for Kerry and 227 for the *

[fujiyama]

13. I'm not a big fan of that site

but it is nice to see the northeast solid blue...including PA.

This is looking good!