ElectoralVote.com showing Kerry 284 Bush 247 in Electoral Votes

[kerry-is-my-prez]

http://www.electoral-vote.com/

News from the Votemaster
Kerry keeps moving up in the electoral college. A new Survey USA poll shows he has now inched ahead of Bush in Florida, although his 1% lead means the state is still a statistical tie. Nevertheless, we now show Kerry with more than the critical 270 votes in the electoral college to win. Perhaps more signficant, though, is the fact that in states where Kerry's lead is at least 5%, he has 228 electoral votes. In states where Bush's lead is at least 5%, he has 183 electoral votes. Clearly the race is still wide open.

If you love horror stories, Slate has a good one for you by Richard L. Hasen. In it, he describes five ways the presidential election could end up in the Supreme Court. Briefly summarized, they are:

- Voting glitches involving electronic or other voting machines
- Litigation over which provisional ballots are valid
- A fight over the Colorado amendment to split the electoral vote
- A tie in the electoral college or a faithless elector
- A terrorist attack that disrupts voting in a swing state
Are the voters stupid? It is not considered politically correct to point out that an awful lot of voters don't have a clue what they are talking about. A recent poll from Middle Tennessee State University sheds some light on the subject. For example, when asked which candidate wants to roll back the tax cuts for people making over $200,000 a year, a quarter thought it was Bush and a quarter didn't know. And it goes down hill from there. When asked which candidate supports specific positions on various issues, the results were no better than chance. While this poll was in Tennessee, I strongly suspect a similar poll in other states would get similar results. I find it dismaying that many people will vote for Bush because they want to tax the rich (which he opposes) or vote for Kerry because they want school vouchers for religious schools (which he opposes).

[Claire Beth]

1. The MTSU polling is wrong for TN....

I don't know how they did their polling but there is NO F'ing way that Bush has *THAT* much of a lead on Kerry here. NO WAY!!!! The overall electoral vote numbers are looking great for Kerry. I can't stomach another 4 years of the current administration. SURELY, this country will not stand it.

[Inland]

2. DC Pol Rpt, shows Kerry lead, also

Looks like Ohio, Florida shaken out of Bush column over a week.

Kerry 228
Bush 186
Close 124

[Hand]

3. Oh man, don't even consider Florida...

That's pretty much out of the question barring a landslide for Kerry. He'd have to pile up votes faster than Jebbie and his criminal gang can burn/hack/otherwise eliminate them. Hate to say it, but he has to take a win-without-Florida strategy. I think he can do it!

:kick: