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detroit Donating Member (163 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-19-04 03:50 PM
Original message
Kerry will win
I can feel it.

My Electoral call: Kerry 304 Bush 234.

http://www.electoral-vote.com

Ohio will swing to Kerry.
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dogtag Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-19-04 03:53 PM
Response to Original message
1. I remember reading somewhere that the Clinton team knew
two weeks out that they had won. While it's still possible for Rove to pull some crap out of his bag of dirty tricks, I think the Kerry team knows they've won this one too. Just my humble opinion.
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TexasSissy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-19-04 03:59 PM
Response to Reply #1
4. Well, Clinton was pretty much ahead in the polls. Everyone thought he'd
win, as I recall.
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callous taoboy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-19-04 03:53 PM
Response to Original message
2. detroit
GOD I HOPE YOU'RE RIGHT!

I feel good, hopeful, as well.
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Worst Username Ever Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-19-04 03:54 PM
Response to Original message
3. In. A. Landslide.
Say it with me.
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IIgnoreNobody Donating Member (376 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-19-04 04:01 PM
Response to Original message
5. I voted today! Wow that felt good.
my call: Kerry 316 Bush 222
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Demi_Babe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-19-04 04:04 PM
Response to Original message
6. yes...Kerry WILL win...I feel it also...have all along
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Pump Man Donating Member (199 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-19-04 06:46 PM
Response to Original message
7. Yea! You close Kerry 280-300 Dumb-ass 200- 230
Kerry 51.2 Dumby 47.9
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RoadRunner Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-19-04 06:54 PM
Response to Original message
8. New Mexico will also go Kerry
you can bank on it. I'm even starting to see "Republicans for Kerry" bumper stickers on SUVs. Kerry yard signs vs * at least 5 to 1 in the north, about even in the south. And remember, the state gov here is Dem, as in the folks that count the votes.

New Mexico will stay blue.
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Hoosierdaddee Donating Member (28 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-19-04 06:56 PM
Response to Original message
9. Yes - but the media is in denial
Yes Kerry will win in spite of media denial and manipulation of polling data.

Media Matters has recently posted this concerning CNN's cherry picking of polling data to skew towards Bush:

http://mediamatters.org/items/200410190005

Incomprehensible: CNN again excluded polls favorable to Kerry from "comprehensive" polling overview

For the second straight day, CNN selectively reported recent presidential polling results. Although the network misleadingly dubbed its October 19 report on recent polls a "comprehensive overview," CNN Live Today host Daryn Kagan omitted results that are more favorable to Senator John Kerry and instead focused on results that show a lead for President George W. Bush.

From the October 19 edition of CNN Live Today:

KAGAN: As the election draws closer, the race appears deadlocked. According to the latest New York Times/CBS News poll, both Kerry and Bush are in a statistical tie among registered voters. Bush has a one-percentage-point lead among likely voters, but that is within the margin of error. A comprehensive overview of five post-debate polls shows the Bush campaign having a bit more breathing room; it shows Bush with a four-percentage-point lead, just beyond the margin of error.

But there's nothing "comprehensive" about that "overview" of polls -- it excluded the most recent one, The New York Times/CBS News poll, which Kagan had just mentioned. Again: Kagan's "comprehensive" overview did not factor in a poll she had just told viewers about less than ten seconds earlier.

Kagan's "comprehensive" overview also omitted three other recent polls -- and, coincidentally, all three showed better results for Kerry, as Media Matters for America noted after a similar CNN report on October 18.

Kagan also claimed that Bush's lead in the "comprehensive overview" (of polls with results favorable to Bush) was, at four points, "just beyond the margin of error." But the on-screen graphic indicated that the "sampling error" was plus or minus four points, so even under her mistaken view of "margin of error," Bush's lead was just within that. In fact, margin of error applies to both Bush's total and Kerry's total. So Bush's lead is not "just beyond" the margin of error, or even "just within" it -- it is well within the margin of error.

This type of garbage is so stupidly blatant you've got wonder what is the motivation.

1) The Bushites are arm-twisting CNN or
2) It's reverse psychology - keep saying the race is a tie or Bush has a slight lead to keep Kerry supporters UP to vote and / or give the Bushoes a false sense of security so they'll stay home.



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Johnny B. Goode Donating Member (90 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-19-04 07:02 PM
Response to Original message
10. I PRAY YOU'RE RIGHT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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