My prediction day BEFORE election: polls average 49% Kerry, 48% Bush

[Guaranteed]

It seems as if Bush has topped out around 47-48%. I think the remaining undecideds will continue to split between Kerry and Bush up until election day, with 3 or 4 percent left over that decide on THAT day.

And those 3 or 4 percent will go to Kerry.

[still_one]

1. Here is what will happen

There are NO UNDECIDEDS now, it is just someone who wants fifteen minutes of fame

The HUGE Democratic registration will have John Kerry as our next President by at least 5%

[keopeli]

2. National Polls don't matter much in this race...thank god

I disagree, though. In my experience, we will experience one of these odd (and frequent) Gallup Poll Bush* Spikes. All of a sudden, in one lonely poll, Bush*'s numbers put him about 8 points above Kerry. It'll probably be more like 4, but that's what will happen...I believe.

"3 out of 4 polls show Bush* winning!!!" or something like that.

Then, the little heads like Greenfield will say, "but not so fast. The electoral college is what matters, and that race is MUCH closer. This one is close!" and chuckle with their glee in how brilliant they are.

wierd