Pew Poll: 45-45 Bush/Kerry plus demographics

[WI_DEM]

The new Pew Poll has the race tied at 45% each.

Here are some breakdowns:
Men favor Bush 50-39
Women favor Kerry 51-41

Under age 30 favor Kerry 47-44
30-49 favor Bush 49-44
50-64 favor Kerry 49-43
65 plus favor Kerry 45-42

College Grads are split 47-47
Some college favor Bush 50-42
High School diploma or less favor Kerry 46-41

Regionally
The East favors Kerry 56-35
Midwest favors Bush 48-42
South favors Bush 51-38
West favors Kerry 50-43

Republicans favor Bush 89-7
Democrats favor Kerry 88-7
Independents are split 43-43

http://people-press.org/reports/tables/229.pdf

[tritsofme]

1. Only 49% approval on handling terrorism!

Down from 60+% last month!

[JI7]

2. women favor Kerry 41-41 ? is that a typo ?

[lancdem]

5. I assume it's 51-41

[underpants]

12. KERRY HAS TO DO BETTER WITH WOMEN!!!

Why can't Kerry connect with women????

They are still spewing that crap.

[WI_DEM]

7. sorry, typo it is 51% for Kerry among females.

[Goldmund]

3. Wow

Kerry has gained 4 and * has lost 3 since the last poll.

[MallRat]

4. Finally, a poll that shows equal Bush-GOP and Kerry-Dem support.

Republicans favor Bush 89-7
Democrats favor Kerry 88-7

The whole "Kerry hasn't shored up his base" meme was really pissing me off. I'm glad to see we're sticking a dagger in that beast, once and for all.

-MR

[lancdem]

11. I was encouraged by that, too

and the undecided independents will break mostly for Kerry, giving him an advantage there.

[vet_against_Bush]

6. 88 of Dems favoring Bush is an improvement from other polls, but

I want 98!

[lancdem]

13. Unfortunately, 98 percent would never happen

considering there a number of conservative Dems.

[glitch]

8. Either my generation sucks 30-49 favor Bush 49-44 or we screen calls. nt

[Zynx]

9. If Democrats were weighted properly, it would be 48% to 45% for Kerry.

[HereSince1628]

10. Its a shame Zell Miller was included in the poll

I just won't believe that 7% of Democrats favor Bush.

I can believe that a number of Republicans equal to say 7% of the Democrats polled claimed to be Democrats.

[WI_DEM]

14. Look at Bush's showing in the south

Only 51% with Kerry at 39% that is alot of people still undecided in what is supposed to be Bush's best region.

[underpants]

17. Almost all of these numbers are great for Kerry

you are right W should be at least at 55% in the South, at least.

The 88% of Dems who support Kerry is what everyone said that he had to do AT the convention and that it was his only chance to sure up that base.....uh huh

Men should definitely be higher for W and Kerry is 10 points up with women not that anyone will point this out they will continue the
KERRY MUST DO BETTER WITH WOMEN!!! Bullsh*t

I am concerned about the split with indies. That is the closest I have seen in a long time. :shrug:

[atre]

15. I see they left off those with more than a college diploma

A category that goes Democrat usually 60-40 to 65-35.

[mvd]

16. That's great news!

I think you'll start seeing Kerry ahead in polls soon.

[sonicx]

18. with those Party ID internals, Kerry wins easily

we rarely see polls with Kerry's Dem support that high. I hope to God it's that high on election day.

[DaveinMD]

19. if we turnout Democrats

we win. Its all about turnout now.

[underpants]

20. W is dropping all over the place in this poll

http://people-press.org/reports/tables/229.pdf

The only gains are +4 with Blacks :scared: and +2 non-evangelists (but really how many evangelists are there?)+1 secular

+1 Some college
+2 $30-49K
+7 $20-29K
but -14 with <$20K

+1 independents but other than that he is dropping like a stone.

-4 East
-5 Midwest

[WI_DEM]

the poll shows only 77% of black voters going for Kerry and 11%

for Bush--so many are undecided and I'm confident they will break for Kerry.

[alexisfree]

21. more mood swings than a pregnant woman...

my poll is

83% Hispanics for Kerry

27% idiots for the Nazi bush