Pew Research 47-47

[DemocratSinceBirth]

No link

[quaoar]

1. Here's one

http://people-press.org/reports/display.php3?ReportID=229

As the campaign heads into its final stages, the presidential race is again extremely close. The latest Pew Research Center survey of 1,307 registered voters, conducted Oct. 15-19, finds President George W. Bush and Sen. John Kerry tied at 45%-45% among registered voters, and 47%-47% among likely voters.(1) These findings represent a gain in support for the Democratic challenger since early October, when he trailed the president among both likely and registered voters.

Kerry's gains in the horse race are tied more to an improving personal image than to growing strength on the issues. In particular, the Democratic challenger has virtually erased Bush's advantage for honesty and having good judgment in a crisis. Kerry is again seen as the more empathetic candidate, an advantage he held earlier in the campaign but lost after the Republican convention. Bush continues to lead by significant but narrowing margins as the stronger leader and as the candidate more willing to take an unpopular stand on the issues.

There has been little movement in how voters assess the candidates on the issues. But a separate Pew Research Center poll of 803 adults shows that Bush's own approval measures have weakened appreciably. Bush's overall job approval stands at 44%, while solid majorities disapprove of his handling of the situation in Iraq (56% disapprove) and the economy (55%). Even on terrorism, the president's strongest issue, his approval rating stands at 49% ­ the lowest level since the Sept. 11 attacks.

[Randi_Listener]

2. I like the numbers.

6% undecided and we all know what that means.

[lancdem]

3. And that's likely voters

It's 45-45 among RVs. An incumbent with 45-47 percent of the vote is in very poor shape.

[sonicx]

4. the party ID internals look excellent for Kerry

he can't lose if he gets 87+% of dems.

[Randi_Listener]

5. It's in good shape.

You naysayers need to chill.

[rjbny62]

6. one of their people was on NPR this afternoon

talking about this poll and polling in general. Says Kerry is winning with women. This contradicts one of the other polls that shows Bush in the lead.

[59millionmorons]

7. 3 polls now have his job approval at 44%

PEW,CBS AND ZOGBY. Ouch that is very very very bad news if your last name is Bush.

[Randi_Listener]

8. His ceiling is collapsing

I think the fucking COp turnout for the election will be much lighter than expected.