New Mason Dixon Poll - 7 swing states CO,FL,MO,NH,NV,OH ,WV

[HeldsBelds]

http://www.miami.com/mld/miamiherald/news/special_packages/election2004/9969904.htm

Bush has a solid lead in four states that he carried closely in 2000. In Missouri, he led by 49 percent to 44 percent. In West Virginia, he also led by 49-44 percent. In Colorado, he led by 49-43 percent. And in Nevada, Bush led by 52-42 percent.

But Bush leads Sen. John Kerry in Ohio by only 46-45 percent, a statistically insignificant margin that means the race is effectively a dead heat. It’s a much tighter race there than it was in mid-September, before the presidential debates, when Bush led by 7 percentage points.

In New Hampshire, the Republican incumbent leads the Democratic senator by only 48-45 percent, a 3-point edge that leaves the race there within the poll’s margin of error and a toss-up. In September, Bush led in New Hampshire by 9 percentage points.

In another sign that suggests Bush doesn’t have his base states wrapped up, less than a majority of likely voters in Ohio and New Hampshire believe Bush is doing a good job as president. His job-approval rating was 49 percent in New Hampshire and 47 percent in Ohio, but it was 50 or above in Colorado, Missouri and West Virginia. Some analysts say that whenever an incumbent president’s job-approval rating is below 50 percent, he’s unlikely to win a majority of votes.

[Comicaze]

1. Mason-Dixon Are HACKS!

They're always so wrong. Pay no attention to their "polls."

[Downtown Hound]

2. Mason Dixon leans very heavily to Republicans

You can always bet that Kerry is doing better than any of their polls suggest.

[unfrigginreal]

3. I wouldn't want to be a Bush fan right now - Sucker can't even poll 50%

in his red states.