AP Poll - Kerry 49% Bush 46% LV

[unfrigginreal]

AP Poll: Bush, Kerry in Dead Heat
By RON FOURNIER

WASHINGTON - President Bush and Sen. John Kerry are locked in a tie for the popular vote, according to an Associated Press poll. Voters seem open to change in the White House _ most disapprove of the president's performance at home and in Iraq _ but still harbor doubts about making the switch.

Bush's strength continues to be in a perception by voters that he is the most qualified to protect the country, though his advantage has dwindled in recent weeks. Some 56 percent say the country is on the wrong track.

In the AP-Ipsos Public Affairs poll, the Democratic ticket of Kerry and Sen. John Edwards got support from 49 percent of those who said they were likely to vote, and the Republican team of Bush and Vice President Dick Cheney got 46 percent, within the poll's margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points. The Oct. 18-20 survey, released Thursday, included 976 likely voters.

A spate of other polls show the race tied or give Bush a slight lead nationwide. The presidency will go to whoever gets a majority of the 538 Electoral College votes, a state-by-state chase that is just as close as national surveys.

http://www.record-journal.com/articles/2004/10/21/ap/headlines/d85s0k5o1.txt

[Doosh]

1. the tide is turning, the dem base is always late to come together

[Jack_Dawson]

2. Terror Alert? n/t

[FreakinDJ]

3. repukes are on the run

[vickie]

4. I bet ol' Nedra is ina real 'pickle' about this.....

[cheshire]

5. More good news..........

Maris college 47 tie Bush's approval rating 49
Harris poll 48-46 for Kerry swing states 51-44 for Kerry
Pew research center 45 tie swing states 49-43 polls BAR is 44
Econamist you gov. 48-46 fro Kerry BAR is 44
Surveyers poll Maine 51-47 Kerry
ABC/TNS Ohio 51-47
Research poll NM48-47
Wisconsin 48-43 Kerry Women 52-41 Kerry 18-24 year olds 62-39
Undecides49-31

[DemocracyInaction]

7. I was hit yesterday with that Surveyer's Poll in Maine

Actually, I don't like those close numbers but will take it. Do you know a couple months ago Kerry had a double digit lead here??? Then the Bush's hit town with money.

[Sagan]

6. why I hate the press

Again and again, a one point difference in favor of Chimpy is a "lead". 3 points in favor or Kerry is a "dead heat", "statistical tie" or "running neck and neck".

Media whores.

[papau]

8. Other polls today as we wait for gallup!

October 21, 2004

AP-Ipsos Poll: Kerry Leads by 3 ...49-46 LV's, Bush's approval rating at 47

Marist Poll: John Kerry and George Bush are tied at 47 percent of nation-wide RV's, approval rating at 49 percent of RV's.

Harris Poll: Kerry Ahead by 7 in 17 Swing States, Down 2... 48-46.. Nation-wide

Pew Research PRC Poll: John Kerry and George Bush are tied at 45 percent RV, battleground states Kerry leads 49-43 percent, and Bush's approval rating is 44

Economist/YouGov Poll: John Kerry leads George Bush 48-46 RV, Bush's approval rating is 44

NBC News/Wall St. Journal Poll: Bush leads Kerry 48-46 percent of nation-wide RV's, with 2 percent for Nader
================================================================
Kerry Leads by 6 in Maine 51-45 LV SurveyUSA Poll

Kerry Ahead by 3 in Ohio 50-47 LV ABC News/TNS Poll

Kerry Up 1% in New Mexico 48-47 LV American Research Group Poll

Kerry Has Edge in NH Bush 47-41 LV Suffolk University/News 7 Poll although tied at 47 LV American Research Group Poll

Kerry Holds Lead in Two Oregon Polls 52-45 RV CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll, and 50-44 LV Tribune/KOIN Poll conducted by Research 2000

Kerry WI Poll Leads By 5% 48-43 LV Wisconsin Public Radio Poll, conducted by St. Norbert's College Survey Center, although tied 47 LV's in American Research Group Poll

[Demfromct]

9. How come

I am going to hammer home this point. When Bush is ahead by one he has a slight lead. When Kerry is up by 3, it is a dead heat?

I don't really care about the polls, I'll take my chances on election day where the race is right now, but it is jsut maddening. And I don't think it is the Corporate media. I think they have no balls to say it. They are so careful about being acused of liberal bias that they above board to be neutral. The truth of what they should be saying is that 9-of-10 polls shows this race a statistical dead heat and no one is moving up or down.

And here is a thought I have to get off my chest:

To what degree do you use a poll your organization sponsors? Cnn, Fox, MSNBC all have polls done and they generate a lot of news off it.

Because it is your poll, how does that affect your news judgement. If there are competing polls with dissenting results, then what does that mean?

My conern is a journlistic one. They put more weight in their poll because it is their poll. So for the last week, CNN has had doomsday stories because of gallup poll even though every other poll in the nation shows the race as tight as it was 2 weeks ago. What gives?