Kerry must win: Minnesota, Ohio, and Wisconsin plus NH or NM.

[BillZBubb]

Then there is no way the Chimperor can win, even if he steals Florida again. If Kerry loses one of these, we are in for a long night--and maybe four more disasterous years. NH looks like a pretty good bet at this point.

I am assuming Bush* gets everything he got last time plus Iowa and maybe NM, but not NH and Ohio. Pennsylvania and NJ should stay blue.

The good news is that Kerry has to be slightly favored in Minn, Wisc, NH, and Ohio right now. If that holds, happy days are here again!!!!!

[Catt03]

1. Scareborough is showing Bush ahead in all states

putting up all polls that show Bush ahead..every state

[BillZBubb]

3. They are using those GUPER polls again!

The Repugs are never behind in GUPER polls until election day.

[Sean Reynolds]

5. You mean EVERY state? 50 states?

haha

[Doosh]

2. NH is *almost* in the bag

[dflprincess]

4. An email I received yesterday has a link that puts Minnesota in the

"strongly Kerry" column.

Here's the link along with the numbers for Minnesota and total electoral breakdown:

http://www.electoral-vote.com /


Minnesota (10 EVs)
Strong Kerry
Kerry: 54%
Bush: 43%
Nader: 1%
Source: Zogby-6 (Oct 18)
2000: Gore: 47.9%, Bush 45.5%, Nader 5.2%


Total electoral votes:

Kerry 291 Bush 247

[Was_Immer]

6. look at Electoral-vote.com again

They have it tied today :(