what? Bush 47 Kerry 43 in MI, I thought Kerry had michigan locked up.

[HeldsBelds]

http://www.freep.com/news/statewire/sw106017_20041021.htm

DETROIT (AP) -- A new poll of likely Michigan voters published Thursday showed 47 percent supporting President Bush and 43 percent backing U.S. Sen. John Kerry.

The telephone poll of 400 people conducted Monday and Tuesday for The Detroit News by Mitchell Research & Communications Inc. of East Lansing found 1 percent supporting independent Ralph Nader, 2 percent backing other candidates and 7 percent unsure or refusing to say.

The 4 percentage point difference between the support for Bush and Kerry is within the poll's 5-point margin of sampling error.

An Oct. 11-13 poll of 600 likely Michigan voters found 48 percent backing Democrat Kerry and 43 percent backing Republican Bush. The poll, conducted for The South Bend (Ind.) Tribune and WSBT-TV, had a 4 percentage point margin of error.

[Nicholas D Wolfwood]

1. bullshit. no fucking way.

[loveable liberal]

4. dont worry so much, kerry is ahead more than that...

theres going to be a ton of new voters, it wont be close.

[Nicholas D Wolfwood]

32. Oh I'm not worried. The poll is bullshit is what I'm saying.

[Sean Reynolds]

2. Any poll with a MOE of 5% can be thrown out the window.......

[papau]

35. Indeed there are few other polls out there that show Kerry ahead

Knight Ridder/MSNBC found 47 percent of 625 people questioned said they supported Democrat John Kerry for president, while 46 percent supported Republican President Bush. One percent backed independent Ralph Nader, and 6 percent were undecided. The poll was conducted 10/15 - 10/18 MOE 4

The South Bend (Ind.) Tribune and WSBT-TV Oct. 11-13 poll of 600 likely Michigan voters found 48 percent backing Kerry and 43 percent backing Bush, 2 percent supported Nader, and 7 percent were unsure, MOE 4

Indeed there are a few out there! :-)

Pollster Polling Date Bush Kerry Nader MoE
Strategic Vision ($, GOP) October 20 46.0% 47.0% 1.0% 3.0%
Survey USA October 20 44.0% 51.0% --- 3.9%
Strategic Vision ($, GOP) October 20 46.0% 48.0% --- 3.0%
Mitchell Research October 19 46.9% 42.7% 1.2% 5.0%
Zogby October 18 45.9% 52.6% 0.4% 2.8%
Zogby ($) October 18 45.9% 52.6% --- 2.8%
Mason-Dixon October 18 46.0% 47.0% --- 4.0%
Rasmussen ($) October 17 45.0% 49.0% --- ??
Strategic Vision ($, GOP) October 14 40.0% 48.0% 1.0% 3.0%
Strategic Vision ($, GOP) October 14 40.0% 49.0% --- 3.0%
Research 2000 October 13 43.0% 48.0% 2.0% 4.0%
Rasmussen October 12 46.0% 49.0% --- 5.0%

The poll that is the start of this thread is a 200 per night tracking poll of 600 total likely state voters by Mitchell Research & Communications which had it Bush 46 / 43 / Nader 1 percent, with 10 percent undecided MOE 4

[trumad]

3. Actually I read a poll conducted by Dairy Queen

that said Kerry was leading by 30 points.... Nice thread headline..:eyes:

[Name removed]

5. Deleted message

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[NewYorkerfromMass]

6. Kerry has Michigan locked up. Have you noticed Bush campaigning there?

this is disinfo.

[Walt Starr]

7. This poll has a MOE of 5%!!!!

It's less reliable than an internet poll!

[WI_DEM]

8. it's an outliar or an out right lie since it's the only poll I know

of showing this.

By the way have you noticed all the new polls giving Kerry the lead in Ohio? Two of them with by six points.

What do you think of that?

[fujiyama]

14. You got it

THis state is atleast two-three points more democratic than OH. If Kerry is doin that well in OH, then he's doin as well or better here.

[fujiyama]

9. Out of the umpteen polls

done in the state, this is the first or second to show Bush with a lead. Kerry's comin to visit the state again. I'm confident he'll win this state.

I'm not worried.

[Ruby Romaine]

10. it was done by the Frank Luntz of Michigan so it's BS

Mitchell Research & Communications is a Republican firm in that has a very poor record with accuracy in political polling.

[Medical Speaking]

11. Michigan for Kerry

There is no way this idiot Bush will carry Michigan.

Spin, Spin

[DemocracyInaction]

12. I think the total flip-flop (sorry to use that word) from one poll to the

other indicates that this was done about as professionally as having your cat dial the phone. They probably were calling people who read/watch/listen to them. Or is the result of a certain area they are in. Michigan is Kerry's period. Watch the slime, though, trying to supress Detroit voters.

[unfrigginreal]

13. Pssst...hey you, Bush will lose Mich, Ohio, Pa, and Fla

KERRY IN A LANDSLIDE

[HFishbine]

15. "Likely voters"

But no mention of their cirteria for that categorization. As we've learned here, that can make all the difference.

And that 5% MOE is extrodinarily large. Sounds like an amatuerish attempt to me. I hope the DFP didn't pay a lot for this one.

[montana500]

16. ahahahhahahah

please dont post shit polls like this.

It's a joke.

[Name removed]

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[fujiyama]

26. The Free Press

is actually the better of the two papers. They endorsed KErry as well, weeks ago.

I think this poll was done with Mitchell and Detroit News, which is the state's RW paper...the worthless rag will probly endorse monkey boy.

[Name removed]

36. Deleted message

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[donco6]

18. No chance

Only in your dreams.

[okieinpain]

19. check this list of mi polls, I don't know where you found this one.

http://www.race2004.net/states.php?state=mi

[mzmolly]

20. WTF?!

Ok ... NOT. :hi:

[crissy71]

21. yawn

[SnowGoose]

22. I can assure you

As one who lives here (Michigan), Bush will most definitely not be getting Michigan's electoral votes.

Not. A. Chance. In. Hell.

[mdguss]

23. Yeah

A poll of 400 voters in a state of 15 million is accurate. Michigan will go to Kerry. Pennsylvania will go to Kerry, and Bush is worried about Ohio...

[Cocoa]

24. welcome to DU!

thanks for joining DU to post polls that make it look like Kerry's losing!

:toast:

[Name removed]

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[Name removed]

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[Name removed]

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[DemocratSinceBirth]

30. yesterday they came in twos....

nt

[Lerkfish]

31. not sure what they think to accomplish?

even IF they succeeded in freaking us all out (which they wouldn't) how would that affect the vote at all at this point?

D.E.S.P.E.R.A.T.E

[DemocratSinceBirth]

34. Just Bust Our Chops (nt)

[mdguss]

29. Maybe it is Karl

Have we seen him since he sat under the wheels of Air Force One?

[Jersey Devil]

33. Thank you - this string has been plonked

new poster + outlier poll = cause hysteria at DU

No thank you.

[WI_DEM]

37. interesting how the poster, posted and ran

no responses.

[Lefty48197]

38. Bush has maxed out at 47%

Kerry gets almost all of the rest. Look for Kerry to win by about 3%.

[Moderator]

39. I am locking this thread

too many Personal Attacks.
Please remember the rules state to use the alert button if you find a post disruptive.