Exit polling may be dicey again on November 2nd

[WI_DEM]

I've been reading the threads showing that early voting in Florida and Iowa have been favoring the Democrats as far as party affiliation is concerned. This is good, but it could mean that exit polling which the networks use to make projections could be scewed. If alot of Dems are voting now it may seem that on election day, especially in some closely contested states that Bush is winning--but Dems could get the edge once ALL the early ballots are counted (which hopefully will be early on).

I know also that some internet sites such as that dud Drudge post early exit polling results, so we should keep this in mind--early voting is going to make a big difference.

On the other hand, it might be funny to have the media smugly announce that it looks like Bush is doing well, only to have all the early voting results come in and prove them wrong.

[swag]

1. It will be a strange situation. 3 to 5 of the national vote is in already

right?

The opinion-meisters will have to have crafted some pretty special mechanisms to account for all that stuff.

Might see a lot more mixed sampling of exit polls and precincts reporting.

[Jersey Devil]

2. Excellent point - we could be scared to death and be ahead, but

to be honest with you I followed the 2000 election very closely and remember very few reports of exit polls.