Pool: What Will the Final Kerry % Be?

[JCMach1]

Please put your choice in the nearest... don't round up... give a decimal:


My pick= 52.6% (Kerry electoral landslide)

[Zynx]

1. I think 51 or 52%.

[NNadir]

2. 61.0% Kerry

[Cozmosis]

16. Hehe, I'd love it, but isn't that a little crazy?

Amazing to think though.

[Flammable Materials]

34. My gut tells me Kerry by 6-8 points. n/t

[unblock]

3. 52.1% of the total vote; 52.9% of the kerry-bush vote

[Joylaughter]

4. Heinz 57 %

plus 322 or better electoral votes. Go Johnny go!

[Rowdyboy]

5. 49.1 Kerry, 48.8 Bush.....

electoral vote 301 Kerry, 237 Bush

[southern democrat]

6. Kerry 51% Bush 48% others 1%

[mzmolly]

7. 51.3

:shrug:

[jab105]

8. 48.6% Kerry...it's going to be a nailbiter...

am debating whether or not to take the day off on Nov. 3rd to catch my breath...

[Perky]

9. 50.03

Bush will get about 48.5

but the Turnout calculus is mindnumbing. anyone who think they can nail the nubers down is dreaming.

[foo_bar]

10. last time was 48.38% 47.87% 2.74% Gore Bush Nader

Let's say 48.6% Kerry, 45.8% Bush, 5.6% miscellaneous.

[fizzana]

11. Kerry 51.6%, Bush 46.5, Others 1.9%

n/t

[kurtyboy]

12. 55.1 % Kerry. >360 EV total

That's my most optimistic assessment. Minimum: 49.8% Kerry, 272 EV total.

Oh yeah--add between 23 and 36 million more votes cast to the nationwide total. This will break modern records for voter turnout. I was estimating 11-14 million new registrations, but it appears that will go above 20 million now. They didn't all-of-the-sudden register because they think we've got a great President, by the way....

[Fovea]

13. 51.2 Kerry

48.0 Bush
.6 Nader

[RafterMan]

14. 53.4-44.4

Stone cold lock.

[tedoll78]

15. Hmm..

Kerry 49.4%
Bush 48.7%

[maine_raptor]

17. Kerry 5, Bush 4

It goes to the Supremes again.

[LiberteToujours]

18. 51% Kerry, 47% Bush

I think the media has underestimated just how pissed off and motivated the people are. That doesn't show up in the polls.

[endnote]

19. 75%

:D Let me dream...

[tcfrogs]

22. Only Obama might get 75%

but keep dreaming...

[harpo]

20. Kerry 374 / Chimp 164

[Spazito]

21. My pick is...

53.7% Kerry versus 48.3% Bush. Gut instinct only. Given this is an opinion from a Canadian, one could convert that to 501.1% to 47.2% in Canadian thinking, lol.

[BillZBubb]

23. Kerry - 50.1%

Too many hopeless cases in the deep red states for much more.

[mbee]

24. Kerry Landslide with 54% to Bush 46%

[PROGRESSIVE1]

25. Kerry 50%/Bush 47%/Others 3%

[kerry2win]

26. 51.9 KERRY 46.5 ** OTH 1.6

[WhereIsMyFreedom]

27. 53.8%

Kerry = 53.8% 320+ EV
Bush = 43.1%
Other = 3.1%

[TriMetFan]

28. Since its the Electoral Vote that counts.

Kerry=292
Bush=246

[ciaobox]

29. Kerry: 56% Shrub: 44%

[foo_bar]

30. kick for the a.m. OCD crowd

[TSIAS]

31. Kerry 48.8

I'm thinking that he'll narrowly lose the popular vote but win the Electoral College with 300 +. I expect him to win FL, OH, PA.

[TheWebHead]

32. 49.2% Kerry, 48.8% Bush

electoral: Kerry 294-244

[Sideways]

33. Kerry 53.5 Bush 1.5 DogShit 45

Serious about Kerry 53.5