Hawai'i Poll: Bush, Kerry in dead heat (I cant belive it)

[The Sushi Bandit]

http://the.honoluluadvertiser.com/article/2004/Oct/23/ln/ln05p.html

President Bush and Sen. John Kerry are deadlocked among likely voters in Hawai'i, a surprising boost for the Republican president in a state that many Democrats had considered safe for Kerry.

The findings of the Honolulu Advertiser Hawai'i Poll suggest that Hawai'i's four electoral votes are in play with just over a week to go before the election. Nationally, other opinion polls have found that Bush and Kerry are essentially tied for the popular vote.

The Hawai'i Poll, taken among 600 likely voters statewide between Oct. 13 and Monday, had Bush at 43.3 percent and Kerry at 42.6 percent. The margin of error was 4 percentage points. A large number of voters, 12 percent, said they were still undecided, giving supporters of both candidates hope during the final days of the campaign.

[pmbryant]

1. Some polls showed California a dead heat in 2000

Don't believe it.

Just like I don't believe Arkansas is a dead heat either.

--Peter

[Hawkeye-X]

2. If I remember right, they oversampled Repukes.

[DaveinMD]

3. don't believe it

this poll has been debunked several times.

[kostya]

4. This poll is absolute crap, ignore it

They heavily oversampled Republicans and the sample size is small. The bigger problem is there are no polls to compare with, there have only been about 3 polls there in the last 2 months or more.

[realisticphish]

5. only 600?

that's a pretty damn small sample

:hippie: The Incorrigible Democrat