Rasmussen FINALLY agrees with The Election Model!

[TruthIsAll]

He has Kerry up 48-46. Finally.

Zogby, you're next.

ARG and The Economist have consistently had Kerry in front. No bull from these guys.

http://www.geocities.com/electionmodel/

[maxsolomon]

1. you always make my jitters go away

i have no idea if you're on target or insane, but it helps.

especially with my post electoral-vote.com viewing jitters. they've got bush WAY up on kerry, taking OH, FL, WI, & IA.

[gavodotcom]

2. Those (OH, FL, WI, IA) are all Zogby numbers.

The numbers from yesterday for WI and IA were Strategic Vision results, which is a RW org. OU pegged OH as Kerry by 6%, and Schroth had it tied in Florida.

Obviously, there was so much bad news coming out against Kerry since Friday that the race went from +6% Kerry to +5% Bush. <end sarcasm>

EV.com just takes the newest, not necessarily the most accurate, polls. This is why you shouldn't give two shits about electoral-vote.com.

[PROGRESSIVE1]

3. Thanks!!!

:)

[cheshire]

4. Reality what a concept. They should all try it.

[NewYorkerfromMass]

5. I'm telling you, this is the map that has them scared and on the run

There is no way they can win without major criminal activity.

[detroit]

6. Were does that map come from?

[George W. Dunce]

7. LA Times

http://www.latimes.com/news/politics/election-test-fl,0,1851284.flash

[TruthIsAll]

8. 366 EV for Kerry if you add the whites

tia

[PermanentRevolution]

11. Thanks! I needed that.

And Ohio, Wisconsin, and Minnesota are the only three that are even questionable. We take them, and it doesn't matter what else goes down in Florida or anywhere else.

[fob]

16. What is the EV if you track the time polls close and the time the above

scenario would have the states "called" as you have them annotated?

Polls Close at 8pm right? So let's just say the states go just as you have listed and are not called until 8:01pm, what is the EV count at that time? I see 154 K/E and 79 b*/c (IN, KY (bunning self-destruct maybe a ???), TN(which is now in play), NC (tied - also in play?), SC, GA, AL, MS)

The psychology of the "calls" and the EV count will be a big deal this go around. In the second scenario by 8:00pm ET, there will be several states "called" that still have polls open (which should not be allowed IMO,but they will anyway), what will be the EV count then?

[Technowitch]

9. Ah, how sweet...

This is probably more realistic.

Thanks Truth.

[Fluffdaddy]

10. This being the Freeper favorite pollsters. They are now saying

"Sorry ain't buying this, bad sample This can't be"
"I've been debating for months whether or not to delete Rasmussen from my "favorite places" list. I think I'll do it now."



I just love lurking over there :D

[Goldmund]

12. They're saying that Rasmussen was a "Kerry sleeper"

and Zogby is a "brilliant strategist".

[Fluffdaddy]

13. And last month it was 180 degrees the other way. I love it :D

[Goldmund]

17. True, but let's be fair...

...same shit happens on DU -- although not to the same degree of absurdity.

[Hello_Kitty]

19. The difference with us is that if the polls look like they have merit

We roll up our sleeves and get to work on it.

[mvd]

14. Thanks as always, TIA

Looking at the polls, it sure seems the evidence is on our side that Zogby got the bad samples. Hey, Freepers, get used to it - you're losing! I know the polls can still shift, but as long as Bush doesn't run away in them, I think we win.

[merbex]

15. Thanks for all your hard work and for keeping my spirits up

Great job; you've allowed me to explain the polls to people

[Downtown Hound]

18. Zogby has predicted a Kerry win

because he will take the undecideds. Even if his polls show Bush up by a few, Kerry is ahead with the undecideds.