Gallup ~ October 25, 2004
How Many Are Planning to Vote for the First Time?It is unclear just how many Americans who say they expect to vote for the first time this year will actually do so. If they follow through on their intentions, the data (though limited) suggest it could be a boost for Sen. John Kerry. The Oct. 11-14 survey found the senator ahead of President George W. Bush among these potential new voters by 50% to 35%, with Ralph Nader receiving 3% support.
< begin republican spin > However, given the small sample of first-time voters in the poll, Kerry's lead over Bush in this group is not statistically significant. < /republican spin >
Among all registered voters, the contest was essentially tied, with 46% for Kerry, 44% for Bush, and 1% for Nader. Gallup has conducted additional polling since the Oct. 11-14 survey with more recent trends for the presidential contest.http://www.gallup.com/poll/content/?ci=13744Funny how a 2 point lead is "essentially" a tie when Kerry's in the lead? Though I am encourged by the first time voter numbers. :hi;