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Look At Gallup's Numbers On 10-28-00

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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-25-04 02:07 PM
Original message
Look At Gallup's Numbers On 10-28-00
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fertilizeonarbusto Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-25-04 02:08 PM
Response to Original message
1. Thank you
Once again: polls are meaningless.
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joshdawg Donating Member (335 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-25-04 02:18 PM
Response to Reply #1
5. Agreed!
Polls are and have been so easily manipulated!
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Sean Reynolds Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-25-04 02:09 PM
Response to Original message
2. Bush's lead shrinks by 3.
Last Gallup had him at 52-44.

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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-25-04 02:11 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. It's A Good Sign...
If you extrapolate from 00's numbers we are really up by three...
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displacedtexan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-25-04 02:12 PM
Response to Original message
4. We all know how wrong they were...
CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP # 10/28 *49 Gore 42 Nader 3

Rasmussen was the only polling org with accurate numbers in 2000.
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-25-04 02:19 PM
Response to Reply #4
6. I Think You Meant Zogby
Rasmussen had it 49-40 on election day...
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Bucky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-25-04 03:21 PM
Response to Original message
7. Here are the polling averages over the last 8 days of 2000's race
8 days out - (Oct 30) - 5 polls, Gore averaging 5.0% down
7 days out - (Oct 31) - 7 polls, Gore averaging 3.8% down
6 days out - (Nov 1) - 5 polls, Gore averaging 4.6% down
5 days out - (Nov 2) - 9 polls, Gore averaging 3.8% down
4 days out - (Nov 3) - 6 polls, Gore averaging 4.0% down
3 days out - (Nov 4) - 6 polls, Gore averaging 4.6% down
2 days out - (Nov 5) - 13 polls, Gore averaging 3.1% down
1 day out - (Nov 6) - 7 polls, Gore averaging 1.9% down

Gore was pretty clearly closing the gap that existed on the weekend before the last full week. But on the day before election day he was almost two points down. On election day he was half a point over Bush.

LESSON: people like Bush as a guy. They agree with his platitudes. But when it comes time to vote for the guy, a portion of his support drops off. You like your neighbor Goober, but when you need a doctor you don't give Goober a scalpel.
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righteous1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-25-04 03:25 PM
Response to Original message
8. Harris
I'm waiting to see the Harris poll....they were dead on in 2000
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snowbear Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-25-04 03:46 PM
Response to Original message
9. Thank you DemSinceBirth!
It's ***GREAT*** to see these reminders here.. especially when we see umpteen posts highlighting today's Gallup numbers.

Why fret over Gallup numbers when they were wrong last time.. and they'll probably be wrong next time.

Let's have a toast to the Big Dawg standing next to our next President! ~~ :toast:
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