ABC/WaPost may show a 2 point lead for Kerry today say's a little birdie

[59millionmorons]

ABC/WaPost will show Kerry up by 2%, say our sources. This from
http://www.mydd.com/

I will wait to see for myself, but if this is true, The worm will have turned. Also look for Kerry to be leading in the Zogby polll heading into the weekend. Bush will have to big days drop off by Wednesday.

[Clinton Crusader]

1. If Zogby doesnt turn, Ill be worried n/t

:kick:

[Sean Reynolds]

3. Zogby may already me turning.

By all acounts Bush's lead on Kerry should have expanded by a few more points than it did. Reason why I say this is because Bush had a solid Friday and Saturday in their polling. Going into today he was up by TWO and only gained ONE point. That means Kerry had a decent day, probably was leading in daily polling. If Kerry has a decent Monday, which he should, he'll cut the lead down to either two or one.

[jezebel]

2. Oh, I hope that little birdie is right. I really do. NT

nt

[MidwestTransplant]

4. Weird that Zogby and TIPP are showing stronger showings for *

Zogby was in part 2 days of strong * polling. The fact that Kerry was only down 3 today is good actually.

[pmbryant]

5. This is all just statistical noise, apparently

See: http://www.emergingdemocraticmajorityweblog.com/donkeyrising/archives/000847.php

What these results indicate is that the day-to-day movements of the tracking polls are essentially random. Rather than reflecting real shifts in voter preferences, the day-to-day movements of the tracking polls are simply reflecting sampling error. This doesn’t mean that the overall results of these polls are wrong. In fact, the average margin between George Bush and John Kerry in the tracking polls has been very close to the average margin in other recent national polls. It just means that the day-to-day shifts in the tracking polls are probably not real and that the real level of support for George Bush and John Kerry within the electorate has not changed over the past few weeks: the presidential race has been very close since the beginning of October and it is likely to remain that way until Election Day.

[jezebel]

6. Yes, but the noise sounds so much better when Kerry is on top :) NT

nt

[59millionmorons]

7. Amen

We will be ahead in all three tracking polls this weekend.

[pmbryant]

8. Noise that fluctuates one way can fluctuate the other, too

Hard to say what these will say this weekend, except that they'll all have it "close".

--Peter