"Today's Gallup Poll Based on Even Larger GOP Bias Amongst Likely Voters"

[flpoljunkie]

Today's Gallup Poll Based On Even Larger GOP Bias Amongst Likely Voters

With no concern apparently for its credibility, Gallup has just trotted out its latest CNN/USAT/Gallup poll of likely (LV) and registered voters (RV). All I can say is that I give them credit for consistency and not being concerned with looking stupid should their LV assumptions get blown apart next week.

CNN just reported that Gallup’s latest poll for them and USAT showed Bush with a 5% lead over Kerry amongst LVs, 51%-46%. This was down from the 8% lead amongst LVs that Gallup claimed that Bush had last week, 52%-44%. But, as always with Gallup, there was a reason why their LV and RV results showed leads for Bush.

They continue to assume questionable advantages for the GOP over the Democrats amongst both LVs and RVs, and have actually increased those questionable advantages this week over last week.

Click link for the numbers: http://www.theleftcoaster.com

[pabloseb]

1. Where did they get those numbers?

There's no mention to sampling numbers by party anywhere. From detailed internals a DUers linked to in the freepers site I computed that the sampling of *registered voters* is 41% dem, 39% repugs, 20% independents. There is *no way* to find out how they chose the likely voters, further confirming that they're basically making them up. So I agree with the idea of theleftcoaster.com, but I really don't get their numbers.

[HFishbine]

2. Care to post

your computations?