Dr. Wang Says Kerry's A 3-1 Favorite...

[DemocratSinceBirth]

Who's Dr. Wang?

A professor at Princeton who reduces this race to a science...


maybe a smarter DUer than me can link his site...


I don't have the squiggly lines....


How do you get them?

[MidwestTransplant]

1. Previously he had * Up Big

[kostya]

2. But why can't you cut-n-paste? Anyway here's the link

http://synapse.princeton.edu/~sam/pollcalc.html

[DemocratSinceBirth]

3. I Don't Know How...Shame On Me (nt)

Isn't that an awesome site?

[kostya]

5. Yes, it is a good site. Even more so, because his message is

that the polls and his predictions are "Plan B" in his words and that Plan A is to get out the vote, wherever/whoever you are! In part he's inspired me to head to OH to help out.

Kerry On!!

- K

:smoke:

[Grillydad]

20. Welcome to Ohio, bring a friend

[cally]

12. How to include a link

:-) Open a window with the site you want to link to. Move your mouse to the address line and right click. Click copy. Then move your mouse to the DU post that you are creating. Right click your mouse-again-and click paste. Voila...you have posted a link.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

17. Like This

http://www.theleftcoaster.com/

[DemocratSinceBirth]

18. or ths

http://www.emergingdemocraticmajorityweblog.com/donkeyrising/

[DemocratSinceBirth]

19. or this

http://www.dailykos.com/

[wrate]

15. Just by alerting DU about this you are doing enough. n/t

[secular_warrior]

6. Excellent site. I love this stuff. Thanks. (eom)

[bullimiami]

4. garbage in garbage out. but it is fun to see.

he uses those faulty polls (all of them are) as a primary data source. GIGO.

[kostya]

7. GIGO? Could be, but less so than electoral-vote.com which uses

only 1 poll, the latest. At least Prof. Wang averages in a few over a period of time to take out the wild fluctuations.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

9. Because The Fella At Electoral-Vote.Com Has A Bunch Of Numbers In Search

Of A Theory...


To call Hawaii for Bush based on the available data would get you a big F in any introductory political science research course...


If my poll shows Bush getting 80% of the African American vote I am going to go back into the field and investigate further...

[DemocratSinceBirth]

8. You Either Include Them All Or You Don't

If your contention that all public research data is garbage then we might as well remove psychology, sociology, and political science from the college curriculum..

[DuaneBidoux]

13. Don't underestimate this guy's capabilities, even with faulty polls

He has a way of using the faulty polls one way to balance faulty polls the other way. This is rocket science, and the good news is that this guy IS a rocket scientist (yes, however, I will admit that rockets still do, from time to time, blow up).

[Awsi Dooger]

10. That should be a 1/3 favorite

Just as an odds-on favorite in horse racing is 2/5, not 5/2.

Wang apparently thinks Kerry has 3 chances to win among 4, based on his numbers. Bush remains a man-to-man 2/3 favorite in real world betting odds. My Excel numbers have Kerry with a 55% likelihood. Take your pick or make your own.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

11. Barring A Terrorsist Attack Or A Major Kerry Gaffe I'm Willing To Call

This Election For Kerry...

[Captain Lance Bass]

14. sorry folks.....but..................

i don't listen to wang

[DemocratSinceBirth]

16. who do you listen to?

[Captain Lance Bass]

21. Primus, Suicidal Tendencies, Steve Vai

but NO WANG!

[against all enemies]

22. kerry has wang - bush has wood.

[DeepModem Mom]

23. Prof. Wang has credibility among insiders -- not given much attention...

in the "mainstream press," probably because they don't want to broadcast his conclusions and observations!