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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
 
DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-25-04 10:24 PM
Original message
Dead Heat In LA Times Poll
www.latimes.com
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deadparrot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-25-04 10:25 PM
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1. Do we know what their previous results were?
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sonicx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-25-04 10:27 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. in late sep, Bush was up 6 in LV.
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deadparrot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-25-04 10:28 PM
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3. Cool. Thanks.
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-25-04 10:33 PM
Response to Reply #2
4. Couldn't Find The Party Breakdown...
It pisses me off that Dems are 89-10 for Kerry and Pukes are 96-2 for Bush...


Must be the old southern Dems who haven't voted Dem since the first Carter run...
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pabloseb Donating Member (510 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-25-04 10:46 PM
Response to Reply #4
5. About 5% more dems than reps sampled

Based on the results by party. Difficult to estimate accurately because we don't have enough precision on the results.
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-25-04 10:49 PM
Response to Reply #5
6. This Is How I See The Composition Of The Electorate (nt)
39% Democrat

34% Republican

27% Indy...

but I would sample a bit less Dems to be safe...


Bush is loathed by more people than he is loved and hate is a more powerful force than love...
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nonconformist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-25-04 10:50 PM
Response to Reply #5
7. Statistically that's probably pretty close
More Democrats vote in presidential elections and that's a statistical fact. However, the vast majority of polls I've seen have had Republicans oversampled by several points.
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nonconformist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-25-04 10:54 PM
Response to Reply #4
8. Some people register the opposite party for primary access
Gotta wonder if somehow that plays into this. I know there were a lot of reports during the primaries of some Republicans changing their registration to attempt to tamper with our primary. Who knows though, I agree that it's probably mostly comprised of southerners that vote Republican but have been registered Democrats for decades.
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