MikeG has it Kerry 238 Bush 232 with PA, FL and OH to go.

[MikeG]

68 EV undecided. Whoever wins two states wins it.

Kerry has 19 states and DC, Bush 28 states.

Kerry has WA, OR, CA, ME, MN, NY, VT, NH, MA, RI, CT, NJ, DE, MD, DC, MI, IL, HI, WI, and IA.

Bush has MT, ID, WY, UT, ND, SD, NE, KS, OK, TX, LA, AK, IN, KY, TN, NC, SC, GA, AL, NV, AZ, NM, MS, MO, VA, WV, AR, AND CO.

Any disagreements?

[PCIntern]

1. PA's Kerry all the way

especially after yesterday.

GOTV and NOSWEAT

[requiem99]

2. You are forgetting that undecideds break for Kerry... and Poland, too!

Haha!

[MikeG]

3. Kick

[HalfManHalfBiscuit]

4. Kerry may pick up a few EVs in Colorado

DENVER - A federal judge Tuesday left it up to the voters to decide on Election Day whether to change the way Colorado distributes its electoral votes for president.

U.S. District Judge Lewis Babcock dismissed a lawsuit that challenged a proposal on next week's ballot that would alter the Electoral College (news - web sites) system in Colorado. He said that it is state issue and not a federal one, and that he lacked jurisdiction.

The measure would scrap Colorado's winner-take-all system for distributing its nine Electoral College votes. Instead, presidential candidates would be awarded a share of the electoral votes based on their proportion of the popular vote.

The change would begin with this year's presidential contest — potentially complicating the election if the race between President Bush (news - web sites) and John Kerry (news - web sites) is close.

http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&u=/ap/20041026/ap_on_el_pr/electoral_college_lawsuit

[pmbryant]

5. I would bet on NM going to Kerry (n/t)

[NewYorkerfromMass]

6. I disagree. Nicholas_J's post convinces me we will win FL

hence this map:

[AndyTiedye]

7. Florida Will TRY TO VOTE for Kerry -- they TRIED TO VOTE for Gore in 2000

We need enough EVs elsewhere to offset the very likely theft of Florida's votes.

[0rganism]

9. Nice thing about that map...

Even if you switch Florida, Kerry still wins if he picks up (WI or MO) and (IA or AR).

[NewYorkerfromMass]

14. alternate map with florida loss

[newsguyatl]

8. iowa's the only one i'm worried about kerry winning

with that said, though, i believe nevada and new mexico (and possibly colorado) are winnable by kerry out of bush's column.

i believe kerry'll also carry PA without a problem.

OH and FL are still up in the air.

[PA Democrat]

10. Good news for PA- Democrats out-registered GOP by 100,000-plus

in Pennsylvania.

http://www.cumberlink.com/articles/2004/10/26/breaking_news/story05.txt

[MAlibdem]

11. we'll win all three

def PA, def OH, almost def fl

[mountainvue]

12. Colorado is

going Kerry.

[joanne]

13. NM and Ark going to Kerry

I heard Clinton is going to be there later this week. That should about wrap it up there hopefully.

Also Nv must still be in play, since Kerry was there today. He wouldnt be going if they felt it was out of reach now.

And I am certain Pa and Ohio are Kerry's. :)