NV: Early Voting_ Dems (44%) .. Rep(42%) ... IND (14%)

[Iceburg]

With the second and final week of early voting underway, more than 168,000 Nevadans have cast ballots in major counties, and Democrats remain in the lead in turnout.

In Clark, Washoe, Carson City and Douglas counties, with 91 percent of all Nevada voters, 168,703 people had voted through mid-Monday. That included 73,538 Democrats and 70,637 Republicans. The rest are nonpartisans or splinter-party members.


http://www.krnv.com/Global/story.asp?S=2480960&nav=8faOSPEa

[fertilizeonarbusto]

1. The Rethugs are screwed

Most of the Indys are going our way, IMHO.

[Jersey Devil]

2. Tells us nothing without knowing party registration in NV

You would have to know the overall numbers of Dems, Reps & inds to see if dems are turning out in higher proportions than repubs. I am betting that rep regisration in NV is higher than dem. If so these would be good numbers.

[nixonwasbetterthanW]

4. excellent point, which is why I went to the NV elections site ..

and found out that GOP has a razor-thin edge in registrations, 434K to 430K, w/162K independents. It is about the same breakdown as in 2000.

<http://secretaryofstate.biz/nvelection/voter_reg/2004/0904main.htm>

[Jersey Devil]

5. Good work, but it is even more complicated than that

You'd have to get the breakdown on them by the counties reported. If those counties were for Vegas or Reno it may be a higher dem registration there and thus no advantage or even a big advantage for Repubs.

I am gonna try to add them up

[24HRrnr]

8. approx. 20K Dem. edge in those counties

representing about 90% of the Nevada electorate.

[Jersey Devil]

11. one more try - 18% Dem and 18% Rep

when you consider the total dem-rep registrations vs turnout - a dead heat, thus no advantage. Sorry, lost the total figures in a cut and paste catastrophe.

[24HRrnr]

14. I've been having those "cut 'n paste" catastrophes

pretty much since kindergarten!

[Nevernose]

12. County by county breakdown:

http://www.lasvegassun.com/sunbin/stories/nevada/2004/oct/16/101610633.html

Clark = Las Vegas
Washoe = Reno

Notice places like Eureka county, which is the size of Massachussetts and has opnly 833 people -- 800 miners and 33 prostitutes.

[Jersey Devil]

16. my error - too many pages open at one time - will revise (nt)

x

[KharmaTrain]

3. What Other Races Are There...

I think we need to preface some of the states many of us haven't really followed with the "side card" that has been getting most of the attention. Is there a senate seat or governor's race that's drawing people to the polls? I'm curious how strong of a break to give the Independents...if it falls along the 60/40 to Kerry rule, things are looking awfully good.

[Nevernose]

9. Nope -- GW Bush is the best thing to ever happen to NV Dems

Harry Reid's up for reelection, but it's a lock. Record voting turnout, and it's entirely President Bush's fault. The state party, to most observers, was either dead or dying. Bush has really reenergized us, and it'll be a long time before Nevada Dems go back to bed.

[KharmaTrain]

10. Yucca Flats...BTW...Great Photo

Who is that with Kinky & the Big Dawg?

Cheers!

[Nevernose]

15. Will Smith, pumped up for "Ali"

Not three guys you'd ever expect to see on a couch together, huh?

[Nevernose]

6. We've got a hell of a GOTV effort going on here

So far I've taken five people to the polls, and that was semi-independantly. The state party has about fifty vans rented in Las Vegas alone and they're working them overtime (fifty's probably an exaggerration, but it ain't election day yet, either).

Screw what those polls say about NV, we're going to win here.

[requiem99]

7. Keep in mind we do better on election day. Early vote tie = Win for us.

[TheDonkey]

13. lets not excite the thugs yet! We still need to flood the polls