CNN Oct. 26, 2000 Tracking poll: Bush maintains narrow advantage

[joefree1]

Tracking poll: Bush maintains narrow advantage

October 26, 2000

Web posted at: 5:05 p.m. EDT (2105 GMT)

By CNN Polling Director Keating Holland

WASHINGTON (CNN) -- There is no significant change in today's CNN/USA Today/Gallup tracking poll, which gives George W. Bush a 49 percent-42 percent advantage over Al Gore. The survey of 678 likely voters was conducted October 23-25 and has a four-point margin of error.

While just a reflection of voter preferences this week and not a forecast of how they will vote in November, Thursday's results show Bush's support holding up for a second day. This indicates that his strength in the current poll is based on changes in the electorate rather than the random fluctuations to which tracking polls are often subject.

It appears neither candidate has an advantage on several basic issues, including the economy, Social Security and Medicare, which means that personal characteristics may be the tiebreaker many likely voters are using to determine their votes. Bush has an advantage in that area -- 47 percent of likely voters say that Bush is more sincere than Gore in what he says and only 35 percent say that about Gore. Bush also comes out ahead on leadership, honesty, and values. Gore is considered more likely to understand complex issues than Bush.
more ...
http://archives.cnn.com/2000/ALLPOLITICS/stories/10/26/tracking.poll/index.html

OK, who didn't see the date "October 26, 2000" on this article? Just keeping it real y'all.


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[Goldmund]

1. How come Gallup isn't doing tracking polls this time around?

[NDFan]

2. Because they suck. nt

[Demfromct]

4. Here is the reason

They quietly scrapped the idead late this summer. I think they were so off in 2000 that they didn't have confidence in the methodolgy. If Kerry wins this election by more than 2 points, they will lose all their credibility.

[Goldmund]

5. I see...

But seeing their weekly polls see-saw like crazy, I kinda doubt that their present methodology is qualitatively better.

Anyway, thanks for the info.

[shoelace414]

3. I'm not complaining here.. but..

last cycle, election day was Nov 7, this year it's Nov 2. so.. we need one week from Oct 26, 2000

[joefree1]

6. Here you go

... so if this years election is 5 days earlier this here is the CNN article from Oct. 21, 2000.

CNN poll: Bush gains solid post-debate lead over Gore

October 21, 2000
Web posted at: 1:10 PM EDT (1710 GMT)

By CNN Polling Director Keating Holland

WASHINGTON (CNN) - Although the final presidential debate had a net impact of only four percentage points in Saturday's CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll, it was still enough to turn a neck-and-neck race into a solid lead for GOP Texas Gov. George W. Bush.

Before Tuesday's debate, Bush won support from 47 percent of all likely voters to 44 percent for Democratic Vice President Al Gore.

Saturday's poll showed Bush's support is 4 percentage points higher, and Gore's 4 percentage points lower, for a 51 percent to 40 percent Bush lead.

More ...
http://archives.cnn.com/2000/ALLPOLITICS/stories/10/21/tracking.poll/index.html

More accurate but not as much fun. :evilgrin:

[shoelace414]

10. psst..

the other way.. we're 7 days from the election..

[joefree1]

12. Man, are you picky ...

Tracking poll: Bush edge unchanged

By CNN Polling Director Keating Holland

October 31, 2000
Web posted at: 10:10 p.m. EST (0310 GMT)

WASHINGTON (CNN) -- Today's CNN/USA Today/Gallup three-day tracking poll shows Texas Gov. George W. Bush maintaining a narrow three-point lead over Vice President Al Gore.

Bush garners support from 47 percent of likely voters and Gore draws 44 percent, unchanged from yesterday's results. This confirms recent indications that the race has tightened as the campaign enters the final week, but it is important to note that Bush has held on to at least a small lead for seven consecutive days. The survey of 2,182 likely voters was conducted October 28-30 and has a 2 point margin of error.

A broader six-day tracking poll for October 25-30 shows Bush with a 48 percent-43 percent edge, also unchanged.
http://archives.cnn.com/2000/ALLPOLITICS/stories/10/31/tracking.poll/index.html

[Oreo]

7. Does anybody else notice

the difference in writing styles from what CNN published a year ago compared to now? Now, a 49-42% lead would be a Bush lock in CNNs mind.

[4_Legs_Good]

8. Now that makes me feel good...

real good!

Thanks!!

david

[Kahuna]

9. What the polls missed in 2000 and are missing now is..

how motivated dems are. In 2000 dems turned out in record numbers. We will turn out in record shattering numbers this year and win this thing!!! :7

[Oddman]

11. Bush leads electoral vote 285 to 247

http://www.electoral-vote.com/

Lots of work in the next week!


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