Please post your state-by-state predictions, if you dare.

[MikeG]

[swag]

1. Is there a candy bar at the end of this contest?

[MikeG]

3. No. Just a marker laid down to check next week.

[jean]

2. double dare - where's yours???

[MikeG]

6. Right here.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=132&topic_id=1173129&mesg_id=1173129

[Parche]

4. state by state

Is there a Heineken out there for the winner!!!!

[MikeG]

8. One for the winner, two for the loser.

[Worst Username Ever]

5. MN Kerry 53% * 47%

[UrbScotty]

7. Kerry wins all the Gore states plus OH, NH, & FL (nt)

[MikeG]

10. I have Kerry losing NM.

[UrbScotty]

23. If anything, I'd have him losing Wisconsin. (nt)

[friesianrider]

17. Kerry will in Gore states plus OH and NH...

Florida is just way too shady for me to say it's gonig for our guy.

[WI_DEM]

9. Wisconsin: Kerry: 50.5 Chimp: 47.7 Other: 1.8%

[Trailrider1951]

11. Texas: Red state with enough blue dots to rival

a good case of the measles!
Bush = 51% = the freeper-infested hinterlands

Kerry = 49% = the educated rest of us!

[Daisey Mae]

12. Kerry wins Gore states plus

Colorado, New Hampshire, Florida, Arkansas ( maybe Ohio)......

[doni_georgia]

13. Okay, here are mine

Maine 4
New Hampshire 4
Vermont 3
Connecticut 7
Delaware 3
Rhode Island 4
New York 31
New Jersey 15
Pennsylvania 21
Maryland 10
DC 3
Michigan 17
Minnesota 10
Illinois 21
Ohio 20
Arkansas 6
California 55
Washington 11
Oregon 7
Hawaii 4
Florida 27 - Yes I think we will win Florida!!

[jean]

14. 308 Kerry, 178 bush, 52 still in play

538 total EVs
- 52 states still 'in play' (see below)
=486
-178 Bush EVs
=308 Kerry EVs (excluding 'in play' states - determined on Nov 2)
- - - - - - - - - - - -
Kerry's EVs so far:

WA 11
OR 7
CA 55
MN 10
IL 21
MI 17
OH 20
PA 21
NY 31
VT 3
ME 4
FL 27
RI 4
MA 12
CT 7
NJ 15
DE 3
MD 10
DC 3

281 EVs (but wait!)
- - - - - - - - - - - - -
*Additionally, I bow to Big Dog's wisdom and give these to Kerry:
NV 5
NM 5
AR 6

*Also, NH and IA are ours:
NH 4
IA 7

Add 27 more EVs, giving Kerry 308
- - - - - - - - - - - -
*In Play - 52 EVs:

CO - offers 9 EVs but voters get to decide on Nov 2 if the state divies that up. CO could tip to Kerry.

Other states in play -
AZ 10
HI 4
MO 11
WV 5
VA 13

These in play states could easily go to Kerry if the relentless bad news continues for bush this week.

[friesianrider]

15. PA for Kerry, ...

Since Gore won here by 5%, I'm predicting a 7% win for Kerry here in the Keystone state ;)

[ciaobox]

16. KERRY LANDSLIDE BABY!

[Clinton Crusader]

18. OK, Ill play along..

you may not like it so far

Maine 4
New Hampshire 4
Vermont 3
Connecticut 7
Delaware 3
Rhode Island 4
New York 31
New Jersey 15
Pennsylvania 21
Maryland 10
DC 3
Michigan 17
Minnesota 10
Illinois 21
Ohio 20
Iowa 7
Arkansas 6
California 55
Washington 11
Oregon 7
Hawaii 4 (I hesitate to include Hawaii but I will for now)

=263

These are anyone's guess right now
Nevada 5
New Mexico 5
Colorado 9
Arizona 10
Missouri 11
WVirgina 5
Virginia 13

Possibly NV and NM. I dont see MO, AZ, WVA or VA going Blue. CO? Who knows, they may split.

:kick:

[BlueJazz]

19. Bush will win Florida.

Take it to the Bank...The Fix is in.
Every voter issue has been ripped apart by Republican Judges, Bush's Sleazy brother Jeb, and all the right-wing appointees.
Jeb has said he's going to make sure Florida's vote goes George's way and he'll do it no matter what strings he has to do, what under-handedness he has to work or what cheating he has to pull.

I'm serious here, Fellow/Sister...Florida's points will go into the Bush column.

[Eurobabe]

20. Virginia for Kerry

we can dream can't we??

[gavodotcom]

21. Gore minus Wisconsin

Plus
AR
CO
FL
MO
NH
NV
OH
WV

[GreenArrow]

22. Kerry will roll.

Kerry takes:

Washington, Oregon, California, New Mexico, Arizona, Nevada, Colorado, Hawaii, Minnesota, Iowa, Illinois, Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Ohio, West Virginia, Virginia, North Carolina, Missouri, Arkansas, Tennesee, New York, Vermont, New Hampshire, Delaware, Rhode Island, DC, Massachusets, Connecticut, Maryland, New Jersey, Maine, Florida.

That's 387 for Kerry, 151 for George W. Son of a Bitch.

I wouldn't rule out Louisiana. (396 for Kerry then) The south in general will be closer than expected. I wouldn't rule out another surprise somewhere else unexpected either.

[Awsi Dooger]

24. I'm a bit reluctant because I'm in an election pool for significant $

With 15 guys, some of whom might spy at DU. They could guess my handle simply by knowing my dog's name, which they do.

Kerry better than expected: Arkansas and Louisiana

Kerry worse than expected: Oregon and Colorado

[artv28]

25. 317 - 221

Kerry wins all the Gore states plus OH, NH, FL and AR

[liberalpragmatist]

26. Kerry 282 Bush 256

Total vote: 125 million

Popular Vote Breakdown:
Kerry - 50% (62,500,000)
Bush - 47% (58,750,000)
Nader - 1% (1,250,000)
Badnarik - 1% (1,250,000)
Peroutka, others - 1% (1,250,000)

Electoral College

Kerry wins all the Gore states except Iowa, plus Ohio, New Hampshire, and Nevada. Virginia, NC, and Arkansas are shockingly close, along with Colorado, but go to Bush. Florida stays with Bush by a narrow margin.